Avi Melamed.

Tag: Radical Islam

Extended Intelligence Report – July 2017 Temple Mount Compound Crisis: Regional Perspectives

Click here for a PDF of this Intelligence Report    On July 16, 2017 I wrote an Intelligence Bulletin – The Attack on The Temple Mount Compound: Regional Reactions. This is an extended Intelligence Report on the issue.   *** Intelligence Report *** August 8, 2017  July 2017 Crisis over Temple Mt. Compound: Regional Perspectives   Information: On Friday July 14,…

A Prediction Materialized: Iranian Proxy Vows to “Fight to Liberate the Golan Heights”

Inside the Middle East – Intelligence Perspectives Intelligence Bulletin     March 14, 2017   A Prediction Materialized: Iranian Proxy Vows to “Fight to liberate the Golan Heights”   Information: In my January 2017 article “A Growing Whirlpool of Violence: The Middle East Legacy of Barack Obama “ I made the following prediction regarding the growing direct and indirect Iranian…

The Politics of Pragmatism – Jabhat Al-Nusrah Disembarking from Al-Qaeda

August 23rd, 2016 Jabhat Al-Nusrah Disembarking from Al-Qaeda by Avi Melamed Background: Jabhat al-Nusrah li-Ahl al-Sham (The Front for the Support of the People of Sham) is Al-Qaeda’s branch in Syria. Like Al-Qaeda, Jabhat Al-Nusrah is a Sunni Salafi-Jihadist organization. The word “Salaf” means the past of something, its origin, its roots, its primal source. The origins of Salafi thought are deep in the sands of…

On The Edge of The Cliff

******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date:     August 23, 2013 Event Date:     August 23, 2013 Information Item:     Lethal Attacks on Sunni Mosques in Northern Lebanon Information Platform:     Various Source:     Varied Source Reliability:     Confirmed Spring:     Varied Spring Reliability:     Reliable Relevant Information:     Two explosions occurred on Friday, August 23 in the city of Tripoli, the largest city in the northern part of Lebanon. The targets of the attacks were two major Sunni mosques. As of now, 45 people are reported dead and more that 500 injured. So far no one has claimed responsibility for the attacks. The city of Tripoli, with a population of some half a million people is predominately Sunni. There is, however, a group of Alawites who reside in one of…

The Iranians and the Mossad are in Cahoots and Other Assorted Distortions…

October 6, 2012 by Avi Melamed The violent events in the Arab and Muslim world sparked by the movie “Innocence of Muslims” do not reflect the majority of Muslims.  In fact, it is doing them a disservice because the truth is that the majority of Muslims reject extremism. That being said, the events do reflect the deep feelings of frustration and inferiority which are rampant today in the Muslim and Arab world.  These feelings stem from the fact that the Arab and Muslim world today is by and large an “underachieving” society – socially and economically – plagued by suffocating poverty, high rates of unemployment, ever-growing corruption, paralyzing illiteracy, lack of civil and personal rights, and escalating violence. The events that…

The Sinai Peninsula: A Growing Strategic Threat

August 30, 2012 by Avi Melamed According to a one senior Egyptian analyst, the Rafah terror attack was planned over the course of three months by six  Jihadist and Takfir groups. One of the groups also involved, according to one senior Egyptian official, was a Palestinian terror group based in the Gaza Strip named Jeish Al Islam (Islam’s Army). The groups involved in the attack are not part of Al-Qaida.  However, they are inspired by its ideology.  Al-Qaida has announced the establishment of an Islamic Emirate in the Sinai Peninsula and as far back as December 20, 2011, Al-Qaida announced the presence of its military wing in the Sinai Peninsula, called Ansar Al Jihad. Some of the militants that perpetrated…

Nasrallah is sending a message…..But to whom ??

August 23, 2012 by Avi Melamed Arab source reports that last week Hezbollah conducted the largest military ground maneuver exercise in its history.  The operation, held in the Beqa’a (the Lebanese valley) included 10,000 members of Hezbollah’s elite force – many of the militants are 16 – 20 years old. Nasrallah personally attended and monitored part of the exercise together with officers of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. The maneuver simulated Hezbollah’s takeover of the Upper Galilee area in Israel. Hezbollah’s tactics resembled the ones they practiced during the 2006 war with one main difference – the new advanced weapon systems supplied to Hezbollah by Iran.  Their new arsenal includes advanced anti-tank missiles and drones that can be used for both intelligence…

The Iranian Dance of the Veils

November 20, 2011 by Avi Melamed In October 2011 the US administration announced that it had successfully intercepted an Iranian terror plot to assassinate the Saudi Arabian Ambassador to the US in Washington DC and to attack the Embassies of Israel and Saudi Arabia in the United States as well as in Argentina. The involvement of the Iranian regime in terrorist schemes is not new.  To learn more please read an article I published in 2009 – “Masters of Chaos: The Iranian Mullah Regime.” The recent alleged Iranian plot is keeping the media, analysts and intelligence agencies very busy. One major question asked often these days in Arab media is:  Is it true or was it American spin aimed to set…

Is the Israel Egypt Peace Treaty in Jeopardy?

September 1, 2012 by Avi Melamed The calls in Egypt today to revise and even to abolish the Israeli-Egyptian Peace Treaty have grabbed the headlines.  Is the Treaty in danger?  Will it be abolished?  From my analysis the answer is no.  What follows is my reasoning. The main characteristic defining the atmosphere in Egypt today is what I have labeled “political fever.”  More than 20 Egyptians have announced their intention to run for president and dozens of political parties have been formed in the wake of the Mubarak government’s demise. At the same time contemporary Egypt faces enormous challenges.  The most important of these involves their anemic economy which is on the verge of bankruptcy.  It is not at all clear…

Knights of Human Rights

   July 10, 2011                                                                             by Avi Melamed In my most recent article entitled The Freedom Flotilla or More Accurately – Flotil-LIEI made the following argument: The Flotilla is a cynical PR campaign disguised as “an initiative that aims to provide humanitarian aid to the people in the Gaza Strip.”  Its real purpose is to paint Israel black. That article, like most of my articles and briefings, was based upon Arab sources.  It was my goal to provide you access to primary Arab sources that supported the above thesis.  Therefore, I included links in the paper; links to independent articles and reports as well as links to the official Hamas web site that supported the claim that there is no humanitarian…

Osama Bin Laden is Dead and Alive

May 7, 2011 by Avi Melamed Over the past week the killing of Osama Bin Laden has been discussed from a plethora of perspectives.  In this article I would like to present a less discussed and less familiar part of the discussion.  The killing of Bin Laden reveals deep layers within the Arab world.  What are they?   What can we learn from these layers about the nature of the relations between the Muslim world and the West?  And, inevitably, I will also talk about the Israeli aspect of this issue. Here is a strange sentence:  Osama Bin Laden is dead and Osama Bin Laden is alive. Let me be clear:  In my mind he is definitely dead.  However, many people…

Making Friends with a Scorpion: the Murder of the Italian Peace Activist in the Gaza Strip

May 1, 2011 by Avi Melamed Today, and rightfully so, everyone is following the dramatic assassination of Osama Bin Laden.  I will write more in depth about this issue later this week. At this time, however, I would like to share an article I completed a few days ago.  As the news broke yesterday morning, I debated the timing and thought to delay distribution.  However, as I reflected on the day’s events and its place within our world today, I actually felt that the timing was perfect The article below discusses two aspects that are directly related to Bin Laden’s legacy of terror and death.                                                                                                   One phenomenon is the arm of Radical Islamic Terror, an “Octopus,” that is clearly inspired…

Chaos Spreads in Syria – An Opportunity for a Strategic Positive Turn in the Middle East

April 13 2011 by Avi Melamed The following message is a brief summary of an expanded article. Here are the main points: As of April 13th 2011, the situation in Syria is becoming more chaotic by the moment. Hundreds of Syrian civilians have been killed by Syrian security forces. The Syrian regime is operating a death squad called “The Ghosts” to take down Syrian civilian protestors. The University of Damascus is under siege and is occupied by the Syrian security forces. A humanitarian crisis is quickly developing in some Syrian cities. There is no bread or electricity in the city of Banias – one of the major centers of the uprising – and civilians that were shot and injured are…

Masters of Chaos: The Iranian Mullah Regime

June 14, 2010 by Avi Melamed The UN Security Council has issued a fourth round of sanctions on Iran. It is enormously important to understand how dangerous this regime is and it is and no less important to confront the voices in the world that, either out of moral confusion or lack of understanding, or worse – out of cynical calculations – are trying to justify and legitimize the nuclear ambition of one of the most dangerous regimes in the world. Chaos is a good friend of the Iranian Mullah regime. And that regime is making sure to create chaos wherever and whenever it can.  Iran, under the Mullah regime, as described by the US State Department, is “the most…

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