Avi Melamed.

Tag: Jordan

Wikistrat Next Generation Strategy Ask a Sr. Analyst Exercise

Ask A Senior Analyst – Mr. Avi Melamed   Mr. Avi Melamed Editor’s Note: Wikistrat’s Facebook followers recently engaged in a 24-hour exclusive Q&A drill with one of Wikistrat’s Senior Analysts – Mr. Avi Melamed. Mr. Avi Melamed, former Israeli Senior Official on Arab Affairs and is an independent Middle East Strategic Intelligence Analyst and lecturer specialized in the current affairs of the Arab and Muslim world, as well as their impact on Israel and the region more widely. Mr. Melamed provides intelligence analysis, briefings and tours to diplomats, Israeli and foreign policy makers, international media outlets and a wide variety of organizations as well as private clients on a range of Israeli and Middle Eastern affairs. Miguel Nunes Silva: …

Are We Heading for an Escalation Following the Killing of a Jihad Militant by Israel?

October 14, 2012 by Avi Melamed According to reports in the Arab media, Hisham Ali Saidani AKA Abu al-Walid al-Maqdasi, the leader of the Jihadist Terror group called “Majlis Syurah Al Mujahidin Aknaf Baitul Maqdis” was killed tonight (October 13, 2012) during an Israeli Air Force interceptive operation in the Gaza Strip. “Majlis Syurah Al Mujahidin Aknaf Baitul Maqdis” is apparently an umbrella name of two Jihadist organizations “Al-Tawhid Wal-Jihad”* and “Ansar al-Sunnah.”  These groups are inspired by Al-Qaida yet the nature and character of their connection with Al-Qaida is not clear. In recent years these groups have launched terror attacks against Israeli cities in southern Israel as well as against Israeli Defense Forces deployed along the Israel–Egypt and Israel-Gaza…

A Disturbing Scenario in the Golan Heights

September 20, 2012 by Avi Melamed Firas Al Absi, also known as, Abu Mohammad Al Shammi, reportedly the leader of Jihadist group called Majlis Shurah Al Dawla Al Islamiya in Syria, was apparently kidnapped and assassinated.  His body was found few days ago near by the Syrian – Turkish border passage of Bab Al Hawa. Alabsi was 40 years old, a dentist by profession, the son of a Syrian family from the area of Aleppo, but grew up in Saudi Arabia. As a young man he joined Al Qaida in Afghanistan.  Upon his return to Saudi Arabia he was arrested and imprisoned for one year and was then expelled forever.  He lived in Sudan for seven years and went back…

The Earth Moves Beneath the Throne

September 5, 2012 by Avi Melamed The Hashemite kingdom of Jordan is experiencing growing unrest. Jordan is grappling with many challenges – just some of which are:  a growing external debt; an unbalanced budget which is threatening to bankrupt the country’s fragile economy; a high unemployment rate; growing inflation; a severe shortage of fresh water; constant electric blackouts and brownouts; a disintegration of public order; and growing feelings of insecurity among the population. At the same time, Jordanians are also focused on two additional issues:  the exposure of what seems to be deep corruption among politicians, civil servants and people who are part of the monarchy’s inner circle – specifically the Queen; and the perennial, yet sharply escalating debate, between…

Is War in the Middle East Inevitable?

February 25, 2012 by Avi Melamed The Iranian nuclear military program and the possibility of a massive military collision in the Middle East are clearly occupying the world’s attention. These concerns are not groundless.  However, is military confrontation inevitable? In this article, I would like to bring your attention to the fact that at this specific moment, due to the…

Black is White, Up is Down: Master of distortion

February 5, 2012 by Avi Melamed Mr. Abdel Bari Atwan is the Chief Editor of a very popular London based, Arab newspaper, Al-Quds Al-Arabi. Mr. Atwan, who lives In the UK, is a very welcome guest on British television, Al Jazeera and other media channels. I recently saw him on a Middle East panel hosted by one of the British TV channels and I was struck by the fact that neither the host nor the other participants found it appropriate to ask Mr. Atwan some tough questions regarding his outspoken opinions. For example, they could have asked Mr. Atwan to explain the way he described Osama Bin Laden in articles he published following the killing of Bin Laden. Here is…

Showbiz: The Palestinian Inner Reconciliation

  December 18, 2011  by Avi Melamed Recently, and not for the first time, there is talk of an inner Palestinian reconciliation between the Palestinian Authority (Fatah) and Hamas. In late November a meeting was held in Cairo between Abu Mazen, the Palestinian President, and Khaled Masha’l, the Head of the Political Bureau of Hamas.  Following the meeting both leaders formally declared that all of the problems and disagreements between the sides were resolved.  It was reported that both leaders agreed to release each other’s imprisoned activists.  Masha’l even promised the Palestinian President that Hamas was willing to adopt the concept of “civilian resistance” and to pause, temporarily, its concept of “violent resistance.”  In addition, Masha’l committed that Hamas would…

Almost a Suicide Bomber: The Story of Amal Juma’ah

December 8, 2011  by Avi Melamed In October 2011, a deal was struck between Hamas and Israel. Over 1,000 Palestinian prisoners were exchanged for the Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit that was abducted by Hamas in June 2006. You can read more about the prisoner swap deal in my article: Israel – Hamas Prisoner Swap Deal: Arab Perspectives. Amal Juma’ah was one of the Palestinian female prisoners released by Israel. Following her release, Amal Juma’ah was hospitalized in a Palestinian hospital in Nablus with an undisclosed sickness. There has been talk of her being transferred to a Jordanian hospital. The Palestinian President, Mahmud Abbas, ordered the Palestinian Prime Minister, Salam Fayyad, to make sure that all costs for her medical treatment…

Making Friends with a Scorpion: the Murder of the Italian Peace Activist in the Gaza Strip

May 1, 2011 by Avi Melamed Today, and rightfully so, everyone is following the dramatic assassination of Osama Bin Laden.  I will write more in depth about this issue later this week. At this time, however, I would like to share an article I completed a few days ago.  As the news broke yesterday morning, I debated the timing and thought to delay distribution.  However, as I reflected on the day’s events and its place within our world today, I actually felt that the timing was perfect The article below discusses two aspects that are directly related to Bin Laden’s legacy of terror and death.                                                                                                   One phenomenon is the arm of Radical Islamic Terror, an “Octopus,” that is clearly inspired…

Syria: The Wall of Fear is Cracking

March 21, 2011 by Avi Melamed The Tsunami wave is reaching the Syrian shore.  Riots are erupting in some Syrian cities.  Demonstrations are erupting in Damascus, Hums or Haleb, and Hama – all traditionally known as strongholds of Syrian opposition, mostly politically Islamist groups.  However, these demonstrations could be described as relatively low intensity demonstrations. One place is exceptional – the city of Dara’a next to the Syrian – Jordanian border.  Violent clashes are taking place in Dara’a over the past few days.  Five people were killed, hundreds injured, and dozens were arrested by the Syrian security forces…Yet- the riots and protests are not dying, in fact they are gaining momentum.  Government symbols in Dara’a were destroyed, the local Governor’s…

חמת גדר ומשולש הגבולות رحلة الى هضبة الجولان-مثلث الحدود A Tour of the Golan Heights – The Triangle Border

  סיור לגולן: חמת גדר ומשולש הגבולות رحلة  إلى هضبة الجولان – مثلث الحدود إسرائيل – الأردن – سوريا Tour of the Golan Heights: The Triangle Border

Jordan: Long Live the (wise) King!

February 13, 2011 by Avi Melamed The following story allows the West to have a glimpse into Middle Eastern Politics. It’s always good to learn something… Mrs. Randa Habib is the Correspondent of the French Agency News (FAN) in Jordan.  She knows everything that there is to be known about what is going on in Jordan.  She has direct access to theRoyal Court. A couple of days ago she published an interesting report.  Thirty-six senior figures from the Bedouin Tribes in Jordan published a petition criticizing the Jordanian Queen Rania. Queen Rania’s is from the Yasin family, a very wealthy Palestinian family originally from the city of Nablus on theWest Bank.  Rania was born in Kuwait, where her father had…

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