Avi Melamed.
Tag: Israel

March 2, 2021
Connecting the Dots | Special Briefing March 1, 2021
Special Briefing | March 1, 2021 Connecting the Dots | The Alliance of Moderation & Iranian Attack, US Attack Houthi Attack On Thursday, February 25th there was an explosion on an Israeli-owned commercial ship in the Gulf of Oman. Later that night – in the early hours of February 26th, United States forces attacked the Iman Ali Compound in eastern…

December 9, 2020
The Elimination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Iran’s Top Nuclear Scientist & The Deterrence Equilibrium In The Middle East
Information On Friday, November 27, 2020, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, a brigadier general in Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran’s top nuclear scientist, and the head of Iran’s secret military nuclear program, was eliminated in Iran. Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu specifically named Mr. Fakhrizadeh in a briefing he held in April 2018 when Netanyahu unveiled the Iranian nuclear archives the Israeli…

August 19, 2020
The Israel-UAE Peace Agreement & The Restructured Middle East
- AUDIO ENABLED
- Egypt
- Gaza Strip
- Iran
- Israel
- Israel and the Muslim world
- Jordan
- Libya
- Palestinians
- Qatar
- Saudi Arabia
- The Gulf
- Tunisia
- Turkey
- UAE
- United States
- Yemen
In this short article, I will explain how the Abraham Accord, the peace agreement between Israel and the UAE itself, and the responses to the agreement, represent the new geostrategic construct of the region.

August 6, 2020
Massive Explosion in the Port of Beirut, August 4, 2020 | Preliminary Observations by Avi Melamed
I am writing this article the day after a huge explosion that took place in the port of Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, on August 4, 2020. In this article, I am not focusing on speculations. Instead, I am just concentrating on several initial diagnoses related to the incident. Basic information that can be assessed at this stage to be…

August 5, 2020
And Now For Something Completely Different!
We are so thrilled to share the above movie with you! Your feedback – as always – is welcome! As you know, my expertise is Current Events in the Middle East, the Arab & Muslim World, and their Impact on the Region & Israel. I provide Geopolitical Briefings, Intelligence Tours, & Personal Encounters in Israel. And I Lecture & Teach…

August 2, 2020
Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 1 – Introduction
This is the first in a three-part video series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… If you have not seen my video from July 23rd – Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions – it might help augment the background. Here is the link to…

July 23, 2020
Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions
Recent events throughout the region – including the killing of an Iranian General and a Senior Hezbollah militant outside of Damascus earlier this week – erode Iran’s deterrent posture. In this filmed webinar, I give an overview of Iran’s regional goals, the current challenge it is facing in achieving its ambitions. And I outline a possible – even counterintuitive…

July 2, 2020
Possible Israeli Annexation / Sovereignty: Domestic & Regional Responses
In this short article, I would like to explore a couple of aspects of Israel, possibly annexing/applying Israel sovereignty in parts of the area known as The West Bank / The Occupied Territories / Judea & Samaria. One: What will Israeli do? Two: What will be the Palestinian reaction in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip? Three:…

January 31, 2020
Trump’s Plan – Regional Reactions & Initial Observations
Compared to previous Western initiatives, President Trump's plan reflects a more up-to-date dialogue with the realities that exist on the ground. This in itself, it is essential because it marks the end of the paradigm that dominated the outlines offered previously by Western diplomats to end the conflict. Trump's outline - even if not fulfilled, will set the tone for future outlines.

January 10, 2020
The Eastern Mediterranean: The Civil War in Libya & Turkish-Egyptian Tensions Deepen
An update to my article on Zoom-In on the Middle East | December 15, 2019, In this short article, I would like to focus on Turkey’s involvement in the war in Libya. The Civil War in Libya began in 2011 following the ousting of Libyan Dictator, Muammar al-Gaddafi, in October of that year. Since then, various Libyan factors have been…

December 16, 2019
Zoom-In on the Middle East | December 15, 2019
- Avi's Predictions & Reality
- Gaza Strip
- Iran
- Iraq
- Israel
- Lebanon
- Libya
- Palestinians
- Qatar
- The Gulf States
- Turkey
- United States
- West Bank
- Yemen
The Middle East is a chain of links. Everything is connected. Understanding the links is critical to developing an accurate picture of reality. I wanted to take the opportunity to provide a contextualized snapshot of the region along with my predictions of what we can expect in the short term. I hope you find this brief overview helpful. Lebanon…

October 20, 2019
Turkey’s Military Operation in Northeastern Syria | October 20 Observations
October 20, 2019 Background On October 9, 2019, Turkey’s army invaded northeastern Syria. As of now, the Turkish military operation is focused on a 70-km stretch between the city of Kobani (Ein Al-Arab) and East Tel Al-Abyad. This area has a mixed population of Kurds (the majority) and Arabs. The Turkish operation is officially referred to as “Operation Peace…

October 10, 2019
Part 3 | Alarms on Lebanese-Israeli Border: Preemptive Actions to Prevent a Wide-Scale War in The Middle East
In Part 1 of my three-part analysis, “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israel Border might be Last Wake-up Call for Western Leaders” (September 11, 2019), I explained and contextualized the events of September 1, 2019, on the Israeli Lebanese border. In Part 2, “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi” (September 13, 2019) I…

September 13, 2019
Part 2 | Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders
In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…
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