Avi Melamed.

Tag: Iraq

Iranian Retaliation: A Prelude to A Diplomatic Process?

This article is being written just hours after Iran launched a missile attack (January 8) against two military bases in Iraq. The targets were the Ein al-Assad base in western Iraq and the Harir base located some 70 miles west of the Iran-Iraq border. These bases host United States Forces, as well as International Coalition Forces that are fighting ISIS…

The Killing of Major General Qassem Soleimani | Initial Observations

The killing of Iranian Al-Quds Force Commander, Major General Qassem Soleimani by the United States (January 3rd, 2020), launched a shock wave that ripples through the Middle East. Qassem Soleimani was the Al-Quds Force commander. The Al -Quds force is an elite unit of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRG). The IRG reports directly to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Soleimani…

Zoom-In on the Middle East | December 15, 2019

The Middle East is a chain of links. Everything is connected. Understanding the links is critical to developing an accurate picture of reality. I wanted to take the opportunity to provide a contextualized snapshot of the region along with my predictions of what we can expect in the short term. I hope you find this brief overview helpful.   Lebanon…

Iran is on Fire: Mass Protests Breakout Across Iran

Rising gasoline prices in Iran have resulted in an outbreak of mass protests across Iran. Protestors are blocking roads and setting fire to public buildings, banks that are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, police stations, etc. They are also burning posters and destroying statues of the leader of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran, Ayatollah Khomeini, the first Supreme…

Beyond Despair: Protests in Iraq – October 2019 Immediate Observations

Over the past week, mass protests and riots have spread throughout Iraq’s major cities. Reportedly, more than 100 protestors have been killed, and more than 6,000 have been injured.  This is not the first time such protests have broken out in Iraq – particularly in Baghdad and southern Iraq. And like before, most of the protesters are Shi’ites. However, there…

Part 2 | Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Belly Dancing In Baghdad

Iran wants to gain control of the area from Iran to the Mediterranean Sea. The way they are attempting to do that is through flooding the area with militants and missiles. Controlling Iraq is critical to that end.

A Significant Nomination in Iraq

Will Iran increase and perhaps escalate their attacks on U.S. assets in Iraq? Or does the Iranian compromise signal that they are interested in calming tensions with the US and that they will stop using their proxies in Iraq to provoke the U.S?

Increasing Probability for Large-Scale Collision Between Israel & Iranian Proxies in 2019

January 24, 2019    INFORMATION: Another significant direct Israeli-Iranian military collision took place in Syria on January 20th and 21st, 2019. On January 20th the Israeli Air Force carried out an attack in the area of Damascus. Later that day, an Iranian made mid-range surface-to-surface missile targeting northern Israel was launched from within Syria. The missile was apparently launched directly…

Briefing Following Trump Announcement to Withdraw US Forces from Syria

Conference Call Briefing Following Trump Announcement to Withdraw US Forces from Syria

This is a recording of a conference call briefing I held on Sunday, December 23, 2018 in which I provided my immediate analysis of the ramifications of US President, Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw United States forces from Syria.   For Related Articles & Podcasts: Zoom In ~ Zoom Out | Lebanon & Iran My Enemy is My Best Asset…

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Below please see my article  Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq, published by The Atlantic Council  Atlantic Council ~ IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran on October 12, 2018 Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq BY AVI MELAMED Iranian and Iraqi flag (moqavemati) Since the Iranian regime seized power in…

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Atlantic Council ~ IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran

Below please see my article  Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq, published by The Atlantic Council  on October 12, 2018 Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq BY AVI MELAMED Iranian and Iraqi flag (moqavemati) Since the Iranian regime seized power in 1979, its goal has been for Iran to become a…

Post-Election Iraq: A Spinning Whirlpool

Post-Election Iraq: A Spinning Whirlpool

The May 2018 general elections in Iraq primarily centered on three issues: Fighting rampant corruption of government agencies; Rehabilitating Iraq, estimated at 100 billion USD; Preserving the political and geographic integrity of Iraq as an Arab state in the face of growing Iranian influence and intervention – and to a lesser extent, separatist sentiments of the Iraqi Kurds. Iraqi society…

Will Iran Deepen its Intervention in Iraq?

Will Iran Deepen its Intervention in Iraq?

Information: Since the Mullah regime seized power in Iran in 1979, their goal has been to “Export the Islamic Revolution.” The goal of which is for Iran to become the regional superpower and to restore the Shi’ites as the rulers of the Muslim world – a position which in the Shi’ite theology, was taken from them in Kerbala in the…

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