Avi Melamed.
Tag: intelligence

January 18, 2019
Transition of Power Within Hezbollah?
Information: Since early December 2018 until the date of this Intelligence Bulletin, Lebanese Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah has not appeared in public, nor has he delivered any visual or audio messages. Reportedly, he is hospitalized following a heart attack. The reports are denied by Hezbollah as well as by a Senior Iranian Official. Hezbollah is a Lebanese Shi’ite organization,…

July 17, 2017
Game of Pawns: The Middle East 2017 – Avi Melamed North American Fall Lecture Tour
ANNOUNCING MY NEW LECTURE TOUR SEPTEMBER 27- NOVEMBER 25, 2017 Game of Pawns ~ The Middle East 2017 A smoking volcano erupted into the Arab Awakening – and the aftershocks, including the War in Syria, the widening Sunni-Shi’ite rift, and the escalating Arab-Persian power struggle have brought about a tectonic plate movement that is shaping a new Middle…

July 16, 2017
Terror Attack at the Temple Mount Compound: Regional Reactions
- Egypt
- Israel
- Israel and the Muslim world
- Israeli Arabs
- Jordan
- Lebanon
- Militant Islam
- Palestinians
- Radical Islam
- Saudi Arabia
- Turkey
Immediate Intelligence Bulletin July 16th, 2017 Terror attack at the Temple Mount Compound: Regional Reactions (** This is an immediate Bulletin. I will publish a more detailed Intelligence Report over the next few days **) Information: On Friday July 14, 2017, three Israeli-Arabs opened fire on Israeli Border Patrol Police securing the Temple Mount Compound in Jerusalem, called Al-Haram…

July 11, 2017
Immediate Intelligence Bulletin – Arab News Platforms Echo Reports ISIS Leader Dead
*** Immediate Intelligence Bulletin *** July 11, 2017 Arab News Platforms Echo Reports ISIS Leader Dead Information: According to information echoed on July 11, 2017 on some Arab news platforms. ISIS will soon announce the death of its leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. A platform associated with ISIS echoed – yet did not confirm – the report. In addition, the…

August 1, 2016
Intelligence Bulletin: Use of Surface-to-Surface Missiles by Syrian Rebels Expands
July 27, 2016 ******* Intelligence Bulletin Use of Surface-to-Surface Missiles by Syrian Rebels Expands (Following my July 23rd Twitter post and July 24th Intelligence Bulletin) Information Date: July 25th, 2016 Event Date: July 24th / 25th, 2016 Information Item: Syrian rebel group Jaysh Al-Islam launches two missiles in Aleppo Information Platform: Osint (Open Source Intelligence), Varied, Video Source: Jaysh Al-Islam…

July 1, 2016
Intelligence Report: Harakat as-Sabeeren Nasran li-Filastin in the Gaza Strip
- Gaza Strip
- Inside the Middle East
- Intelligence Bulletin
- Iran
- Militant Islam
- Palestinians
- Radical Islam
- Syria
- West Bank
July 1st, 2016 by Avi Melamed General Background: The Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine, Harakat al-Jihād al-Islāmi fi Filastīn, most widely known as the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) is a Sunni Islamic group, established in the late 1970’s. The PIJ is a Palestinian organization inspired by Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology. The goal of Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology is to create,…

June 26, 2016
America Must Revolutionize its Understanding of the Middle East
by Avi Melamed For the past generation, America’s Middle East policy has primarily been a chronology of failures. The proactive promotion of democratization in Iraq, Egypt, and the Palestinian arena resulted in catastrophes. Leading from behind appears to have failed too, as chaos in the Middle East deepens, and U.S. outreach to Iran raises tensions and creates instability in the…

February 15, 2016
The Coalition of The Willing
Published in The Cipherbrief, February 2016 by Avi Melamed The collapse or weakening of state authority in different parts of the Middle East and Africa, together with growing inner challenges and chronic instability in large parts of the region and the widening and escalating Iranian-Arab power struggle, creates a chaotic environment militant Islamic groups exploit to expand their activities…
March 29, 2015
Crisis in Yemen: Significant Milestone
March 30, 2015 Crisis in Yemen: Significant Milestone by Avi Melamed In October 2014 I published an article entitled “Sixty Six Egyptian Fisherman, Yemen, and Instability in The Middle East” in which I said: The events in the fall of 2014 would result in increasing instability in the Middle East The developments in Yemen at that time would have serious regional ramifications Saudi Arabia and Egypt would not tolerate the deteriorating situation in Yemen threatening their strategic interests My predictions have been fully realized: On March 25th, a military coalition of the Arab Gulf states (except for Oman) plus Jordan, Morocco, and Sudan, and one non-Arab state (Pakistan), led by Saudi Arabia, launched aerial attacks on Houthi Shiite tribe…
January 20, 2014
Avi Melamed US Lecture Tour Spring 2014
- Africa
- Arab Media Reports and Analysis
- Avi's Predictions & Reality
- Egypt
- Gaza Strip
- Iran
- Iraq
- Israel and the Muslim world
- Jordan
- Lebanon
- Palestinians
- Radical Islam
- Syria
- The Gulf States
- West Bank
A New Middle East Requires a New Understanding. Events of an historic scale are rocking the Middle East. I have spent many years of my life in the streets of the Arab world. I have watched the Arab Awakening evolve and erupt from the inside. The Middle East in changing before our very eyes, the landscape is shifting and changing every day, and can drastically change any minute now. My upcoming US lecture tour will help you understand the present and navigate the future. Egypt, the biggest and most important Arab State, is embroiled a fierce battle over its identity. Iraq, Libya, Sudan, Syria, and Yemen are disintegrating in a bloody and violent process. Lebanon, once known as the Paris…
October 22, 2013
Are we Facing an Immediate Outbreak of Violence in the Gaza Strip?
******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date: October 22, 2013 Event Date: October 22, 2013 Information Item: Are we facing an immediate outbreak of violence in the Gaza Strip? Information Platform: Varied Source: Varied Source Reliability: Unknown Spring: Hamas, Islamic Jihad in Palestine (IJP) official platforms Spring Reliability: Reliable Information Validity: Valid Relevant Information: A Palestinian militant named Muhammad Rabah A’si was killed today in a clash with the IDF. A’si was killed while hiding in a cave in the West Bank. Reportedly, A’si was the planner of an attack on an Israeli bus in the city of Tel Aviv (November 21, 2012). Following his killing, the Ezzedeen Al-Qassam Brigades, the military wing of Hamas, formally announced that A’si was one of their members.…
September 3, 2013
Coming to The US
Dear Friends, It is my pleasure to inform you that I will be in the USA during the second part of September for a short lecture tour focusing on the current events in the Arab World and their impact on Israel. The events in the Middle East obviously capture media headlines and public interest – and with talk of a possible US strike on Syria coverage seems to be at a fever-pitch. As always, I am personally honored and thankful for every event I am invited to and every stage I am given to add to people’s knowledge and understanding of our complex region – especially at this crucial time when a true understanding of what’s happening in the region…
August 24, 2013
On The Edge of The Cliff
******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date: August 23, 2013 Event Date: August 23, 2013 Information Item: Lethal Attacks on Sunni Mosques in Northern Lebanon Information Platform: Various Source: Varied Source Reliability: Confirmed Spring: Varied Spring Reliability: Reliable Relevant Information: Two explosions occurred on Friday, August 23 in the city of Tripoli, the largest city in the northern part of Lebanon. The targets of the attacks were two major Sunni mosques. As of now, 45 people are reported dead and more that 500 injured. So far no one has claimed responsibility for the attacks. The city of Tripoli, with a population of some half a million people is predominately Sunni. There is, however, a group of Alawites who reside in one of…
August 13, 2013
Was a Senior Hamas Commander Killed in the Sinai Peninsula?
******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date: August 10, 2013 Event Date: August 9, 2013 Information Item: Senior Hamas Commander killed in Sinai Peninsula? Information Platform: Arab Media Source: Varied Source Reliability: Unknown Spring: Unknown Spring Reliability: Unknown Information Validity: Not confirmed Relevant information: On August 9, 2013 a group of Jihadist militants were killed in an air raid in the area of Al-Arish in the northern part of the Sinai Peninsula. Apparently the group was finalizing preparations to launch rocket attacks probably targeting Israeli territory. Reports on Arab media platforms – though denied by formal Egyptian spokespersons – argue that the air raid was carried out by an Israeli drone and was coordinated with the Egyptian army who is…
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"Inside the Middle East:
Making Sense of the Most Dangerous and Complicated Place on Earth"
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