Avi Melamed.

Tag: Hezbollah

The Special Tribunal for Lebanon Final Verdict | The End or A Beginning?

On March 1, 2009, a select body called the STL – the Special Tribunal for Lebanon was established. Its mission was to investigate the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri, who – along with twenty-two other people – was killed on February 14, 2005. The STL, headquartered near The Hague with an office in Beirut, was established by…

Massive Explosion in the Port of Beirut, August 4, 2020 | Preliminary Observations by Avi Melamed

I am writing this article the day after a huge explosion that took place in the port of Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, on August 4, 2020. In this article, I am not focusing on speculations. Instead, I am just concentrating on several initial diagnoses related to the incident. Basic information that can be assessed at this stage to be…

Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 1 – Introduction

This is the first in a three-part video series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… If you have not seen my video from July 23rd – Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions – it might help augment the background. Here is the link to…

Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions

  Recent events throughout the region – including the killing of an Iranian General and a Senior Hezbollah militant outside of Damascus earlier this week – erode Iran’s deterrent posture. In this filmed webinar, I give an overview of Iran’s regional goals, the current challenge it is facing in achieving its ambitions. And I outline a possible – even counterintuitive…

Al-Quds: Iranian Poster & Hidden Messages

Every year, on the last Friday of the Muslim month of Ramadan, worshipers around the world mark “Al-Quds Day.” This year. Ramadan began on April 23rd and ended on May 23rd. Al Quds Day this year was on May 22nd. Al-Quds is the name in Arabic for Jerusalem. The word is taken from the Hebrew word for holy which is…

Lebanon’s Despair: Initial Diagnoses | October 21

October 21, 2019 The screams and mass protests – unprecedented in volume and intensity – which erupted in Lebanon on Thursday, October 17th are screams of despair and demand for a profound change. The precise, straightforward, and exhaustive way to describe the background to the protests is that the Lebanese – young, old, Sunni, Christian, Shi’ite, Druze – are just…

Part 2 | Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders (Part 1)

This short document is being written in light of a seemingly – for now – contained, short round of violence between Israel and Hezbollah on September 1, 2019.  In Part 1 of this 2-part article, I will briefly explain how and why we have reached this phase. And in Part 2 I will explain what must be done to prevent…

Avi on I24 News | August 25, 2019 | Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Hezbollah

Belly Dancing In Baghdad

Iran wants to gain control of the area from Iran to the Mediterranean Sea. The way they are attempting to do that is through flooding the area with militants and missiles. Controlling Iraq is critical to that end.

Lebanon: The Gangland State

Lebanon: The Gangland State

As published in The Algemeiner on February 7, 2019 Hezbollah supporters in Marjayoun, Lebanon, May 7, 2018. Photo: Reuters / Aziz Taher / File.   General elections were held in Lebanon in May 2018. Why did it take until January 31st, 2019 to finally assemble a government? One of the major reasons for the delay was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s…

https://www.avimelamed.com/2019/02/09/from-beirut-to-warsaw/

From Beirut to Warsaw

The General Elections in Lebanon took place in May 2018. Since the elections, Iran has ordered The Lebanese Shi’ite Proxy, Hezbollah – a member of the Lebanese Parliament (with 13 Seats) – to veto the formation of the government. Iran recently gave Hezbollah the green light to approve the formation of a government. On the one hand, this indicates that…

Increasing Probability for Large-Scale Collision Between Israel & Iranian Proxies in 2019

January 24, 2019    INFORMATION: Another significant direct Israeli-Iranian military collision took place in Syria on January 20th and 21st, 2019. On January 20th the Israeli Air Force carried out an attack in the area of Damascus. Later that day, an Iranian made mid-range surface-to-surface missile targeting northern Israel was launched from within Syria. The missile was apparently launched directly…

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