Avi Melamed.

Tag: Bashar Al Assad

Tasting the Bitter Pill of Reality: Hamas’ New Political Pact

June 17th, 2017 Tasting the Bitter Pill of Reality: Hamas’ New Political Pact Information In August 2014 I published an article entitled “Operation Protective Edge: Exiting to a New Space” in which  I analyzed the ramifications of the summer of 2014 war between Hamas and Israel. In that piece I wrote ”…As a result, Hamas enters a long process where…

Israel Opening Its Doors to Syrian Refugees?

******* Immediate Intelligence Bulletin Information Date: May 11, 2013 Event Date: May 10, 2013               Information Item: Israel Allowing Syrian Civilians to Enter Israel       Information Platform: Arab source Source: Random Source Reliability: Unknown Information Validity: Unknown Relevant Information: According to Syrian sources affiliated with the rebels in Syria, Israel allowed the entrance of Syrian civilians from the town of Al-Rafeed, located in the central part of the Syrian Golan Heights. The small town of Al-Rafeed is located in the A Zone of the Israeli-Syrian ceasefire line in the Golan Height about a half a mile from the Israeli side. Since the outbreak of war in Syria there were no reports of Syrian civilians trying to enter Israel. However, on different occasions…

Iranian Soldiers Carry Passports to Heaven – Intelligence Bulletin

******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date:              April 14, 2013 Event Date:                             Recent – Specific Date Unknown                      Information Item:              Iranian Soldiers in Syria carry “Passports to Heaven”       Information Platform:      Arab Media, Visual Source:                                   Ahrar Al Sham Group (Syria) Source Reliability:              Unknown Relevant Information:      Reportedly, a “Passport to Heaven” was found in the possession of an Iranian soldier in a recent raid conducted by the rebel group, Ahrar Al Sham Al Islamiya, on the base of the 17th Brigade of Assad‘s army in the city of Rakka. Accumulating reports indicate that members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards have been sent to Syria to support the Assad regime in the war in Syria. It should be mentioned that during the Iran-Iraq war (1980-1988) the Iranian…

Did Assad’s Army Launch a Chemical Warhead on a Syrian town?

******* Immediate Intelligence Bulletin Information Date: March 19, 2013 Information Item: Did Assad’s Army launch a chemical warhead on Syrian town? Event Date: March 19, 2013 Information Details: A Free Syrian Army official argues that Assad’s army launched a long range missile armed with a chemical warhead on the Syrian city of Han Ala’sal, located in the outskirts of Aleppo in northern Syria. Information Platform: Arab Media Source: Free Syrian Army Source reliability: Unknown Information Validity: Unknown Relevant Information: Earlier today, Syrian national TV reported that Syrian rebels fired a chemical warhead on the town of Han Ala’sal killing 15 people and injuring dozens. That report was not confirmed. It should be noted that in the beginning of December 2012, a Free Syrian…

Free Syrian Army gives ultimatum to Hezbollah

Immediate Intelligence Bulletin By: Avi Melamed Item: Free Syrian Army gives ultimatum to Hezbollah Information Date: 2/19/2013 Information: Tonight the Free Syrian Army Headquarters send out a formal ultimatum to Hezbollah in Lebanon demanding that Hezbollah stop shooting from Lebanon into Syria within 48 hours. According to the ultimatum, if Hezbollah fails to comply with this demand, it will result in the retaliation of the Syrian Free Army upon Hezbollah’s positions in northern Lebanon from which the rockets are being launched into Syrian territory. The Lebanese residents of the Lebanese town of Al Harmal are being warned to keep stay away from Hezbollah’s rockets and artillery positions. Source: Media Source Reliability: Evaluated as reliable Information validity: Confirmed Relevant information: Read my previous articles about Hezbollah’s involvement…

Did Assad’s Mother Die?

Intelligence Bulletin Did Assad’s Mother die? Information date: 2/18/2013 Information: Assad’s mother Amina Mahluf dies in Belhoul Specialty hospital in Dubai. Source: Neutral information platform Source reliability: Unknown Information validity: Unconfirmed Relevant information: According to different sources, Assad’s mother moved to the Gulf area few months ago. Her exact whereabouts are not clear. This information evaluated as reliable. Assad’s mother is member of the powerful Mahluf Alawite family. A teacher by profession, Amina Mahluf is often described as the “Iron lady” who rules her family with an iron fist. Reportedly, she had significant influence on almost all state matters in Syria. If the information regarding Amina Mahluf’s death is accurate, it could be meaningful for two major reasons; one, reportedly…

The Egyptian President’s Brilliant Move

September 1, 2012 by Avi Melamed Many people in the Arab world didn’t understand why Egyptian President Mohammad Morsi went to Iran to participate in the Non-Alignment Meeting (NAM). The Arab world loathes the Iranian regime which:  supports Assad as he butchers Syrian citizens; dominates large portions of Iraq and Lebanon through proxies; is involved in espionage and terror activity throughout the Arab world, including in Egypt; and threatens its neighbors, the Arab Gulf States. It is no wonder then, that Morsi’s move was criticized by different factors in the Arab world. Yet, Morsi knew exactly what he was doing.   He went to Iran for one purpose.  To position himself and Egypt as the leader of Sunni Arabs who…

Is War in the Middle East Inevitable?

February 25, 2012 by Avi Melamed The Iranian nuclear military program and the possibility of a massive military collision in the Middle East are clearly occupying the world’s attention. These concerns are not groundless.  However, is military confrontation inevitable? In this article, I would like to bring your attention to the fact that at this specific moment, due to the…

Israel – Hamas Prisoner Swap Deal: Arab Perspectives

  October 30, 2011 by Avi Melamed About 3 years ago, Khaled Mashal (also known as Abu Walid) the leader of Hamas in Damascus, received a phone call from Omar Suleiman, the head of the Egyptian General Intelligence Service. “I have some good news, Abu Walid,” said Suleiman, “Israel has agreed to release one thousand Palestinian prisoners in return for (the Israeli soldier that was abducted by Hamas in June 2006) Gilad Shalit.” Mashal was ecstatic! “Great news!” he said “You have the green light from me to close the deal.” Omar Suleiman informed Hosni Mubarak, Egypt’s president at the time, and Mubarak in turn, informed Bashar al-Assad, the president of Syria. Assad was furious. “Mashal is not in a…

The Magic Card Called Israel

June 10, 2011 by Avi Melamed In this short article I would like to share with you a basic rule regarding Israel and the Arab world. The rule is simple – Israel was, is, and to many Arabs will continue to be – a tool, a platform upon which Arab politicians, leaders, scholars, journalists and others could gain popularity, fame and support. Israel is a sure card for these people and many others in the Arab world.  You can always incite against Israel, criticize Israel, attack Israel, and condemn Israel.  That’s a great way to escape responsibility, to avoid the need to confront the real challenges and along the way to gain popularity. A perfect example for that rule was…

Cautious Optimism

As we all eagerly await the anticipated release this Tuesday of Gilad Shalit I would like to share an article from May 2011 in which I expressed cautious optimism regarding the release of Gilad Shalit.  More important however, I would like to share with you what led me to that conclusion.  I hope the below piece helps you understand why, after more than five years, Hamas has decided “to make the deal.” May 2011 by Avi Melamed In May 2011 I was interviewed by the European online news portal www.Euobserver.com about the odds for a successful prisoner swap deal between Israel and Hamas. In this interview, I expressed cautious optimism regarding the odds of such a deal that would lead to the…

Chaos Spreads in Syria – An Opportunity for a Strategic Positive Turn in the Middle East

April 13 2011 by Avi Melamed The following message is a brief summary of an expanded article. Here are the main points: As of April 13th 2011, the situation in Syria is becoming more chaotic by the moment. Hundreds of Syrian civilians have been killed by Syrian security forces. The Syrian regime is operating a death squad called “The Ghosts” to take down Syrian civilian protestors. The University of Damascus is under siege and is occupied by the Syrian security forces. A humanitarian crisis is quickly developing in some Syrian cities. There is no bread or electricity in the city of Banias – one of the major centers of the uprising – and civilians that were shot and injured are…

Syria: The Wall of Fear is Cracking

March 21, 2011 by Avi Melamed The Tsunami wave is reaching the Syrian shore.  Riots are erupting in some Syrian cities.  Demonstrations are erupting in Damascus, Hums or Haleb, and Hama – all traditionally known as strongholds of Syrian opposition, mostly politically Islamist groups.  However, these demonstrations could be described as relatively low intensity demonstrations. One place is exceptional – the city of Dara’a next to the Syrian – Jordanian border.  Violent clashes are taking place in Dara’a over the past few days.  Five people were killed, hundreds injured, and dozens were arrested by the Syrian security forces…Yet- the riots and protests are not dying, in fact they are gaining momentum.  Government symbols in Dara’a were destroyed, the local Governor’s…

Syria: A Glimpse Behind the Curtain of Fear

March 5, 2011 by Avi Melamed The Syrian regime is taking some preemptive measures just to make sure that the Egyptian uprising will not create some “unhealthy thoughts” in the heads of the oppressed Syrian citizens. Allow me to introduce to you Unit 255 within the Syrian Internal Security apparatus.  Unit 255 is responsible for disinformation. Using a variety of State owned and controlled communication platforms Unit 255 is very busy these days. Under its direct command and authorization, false and misleading reports are being spread in Syria these days, telling people that Syrian drivers are “honking to express the solidarity of the Syrian citizens with their beloved President, Bashar Alasad.”  The Unit planted recently misleading information in the Internet and…

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