Avi Melamed.

Tag: Assad

Saudi Arabian Daily Okaz Confirms my October 13 article Hezbollah Launched Rockets on Syrian City

October 18, 2012 by Avi Melamed On Sunday, October 14 I wrote a short piece Hezbollah Launched Rocket Attack on Syrian City announcing that Hezbollah had launched a rocket attack from inside Lebanon targeting the Syrian city of Al-Qusayr. Today (October 17, 2012) an official spokesperson of The Free Syrian Army confirmed my report stating that Hezbollah has launched massive rockets and mortar attacks from the Lebanese area of Hosh Ali on the outskirts of the Syrian city of Al Qusyir. Here is a link to the article published in the Saudi Arabian daily newspaper Okaz http://www.okaz.com.sa/new/Issues/20121017/Con20121017541085.htm I have also taken the liberty of providing you with a “google translation” of the article: Informed sources in the Syrian opposition’s Okaz…

Mysterious Blasts as Hezbollah Sinks in the Syrian Mud

October 11, 2012 by Avi Melamed Nasrallah made a speech tonight (Israel time) in which he claimed responsibility for the launching of the unmanned drone that was intercepted by the Israeli Air Force after infiltrating Israel on October 6th.  This speech was clearly an attempt to repair Hezbollah’s damaged image and to regain popularity in the Arab world by using the “defying Israel card.” First and foremost, Nasrallah’s speech reflects the deepening crisis Hezbollah is mired in as the organization sinks in the Syrian mud. Hezbollah’s active involvement in the war in Syria is no longer a secret.  Hezbollah militants openly fight side by side with Assad’s troops against the Free Syrian Army. Hezbollah’s troubles are accumulating. Since May 2012…

The Flames Touch Assad’s Home

October 8, 2012 by Avi Melamed According to accumulating information, the major Alawite families in Syria are beginning to openly oppose Assad’s rule. The backbone of the Assad regime is the Alawite sect, a minority in this largely Sunni country.   There are approximately 2.5 million Alawites in Syria – about 12% of the population.   Most of them live along the Mediterranean shore and the mountain range in the northwestern part of the country.  The main Alawite cities are Tartus (500,000 people and predominately Sunni), and the district of Latakiya which include the cities of Latakiya, Jableh, Al Haffa, and Al Qardahah the Assad family’s hometown. The predominant Alawite families in the Al Qardaha district are Abud, Al Assad, Al Heir, Othman and Shalish.  Members of…

A Disturbing Scenario in the Golan Heights

September 20, 2012 by Avi Melamed Firas Al Absi, also known as, Abu Mohammad Al Shammi, reportedly the leader of Jihadist group called Majlis Shurah Al Dawla Al Islamiya in Syria, was apparently kidnapped and assassinated.  His body was found few days ago near by the Syrian – Turkish border passage of Bab Al Hawa. Alabsi was 40 years old, a dentist by profession, the son of a Syrian family from the area of Aleppo, but grew up in Saudi Arabia. As a young man he joined Al Qaida in Afghanistan.  Upon his return to Saudi Arabia he was arrested and imprisoned for one year and was then expelled forever.  He lived in Sudan for seven years and went back…

The Egyptian President’s Brilliant Move

September 1, 2012 by Avi Melamed Many people in the Arab world didn’t understand why Egyptian President Mohammad Morsi went to Iran to participate in the Non-Alignment Meeting (NAM). The Arab world loathes the Iranian regime which:  supports Assad as he butchers Syrian citizens; dominates large portions of Iraq and Lebanon through proxies; is involved in espionage and terror activity throughout the Arab world, including in Egypt; and threatens its neighbors, the Arab Gulf States. It is no wonder then, that Morsi’s move was criticized by different factors in the Arab world. Yet, Morsi knew exactly what he was doing.   He went to Iran for one purpose.  To position himself and Egypt as the leader of Sunni Arabs who…

Nasrallah is sending a message…..But to whom ??

August 23, 2012 by Avi Melamed Arab source reports that last week Hezbollah conducted the largest military ground maneuver exercise in its history.  The operation, held in the Beqa’a (the Lebanese valley) included 10,000 members of Hezbollah’s elite force – many of the militants are 16 – 20 years old. Nasrallah personally attended and monitored part of the exercise together with officers of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. The maneuver simulated Hezbollah’s takeover of the Upper Galilee area in Israel. Hezbollah’s tactics resembled the ones they practiced during the 2006 war with one main difference – the new advanced weapon systems supplied to Hezbollah by Iran.  Their new arsenal includes advanced anti-tank missiles and drones that can be used for both intelligence…

Hezbollah Sunni Tension Rises

July 15, 2012 by Avi Melamed March 1, 2012, Avi publishes and article Is war in the Middle East inevitable? In which he outlines the increasing probability of a violent collision between Hezbollah and the Sunnis in Syria and Lebanon following the downfall of the Assad regime in Syria.  “…The majority of Syrians are Sunnis. They will never forget nor forgive Hassan Nasrallah for supporting the cold-blooded massacre of more than 8,000 (and counting) Syrians, most of whom are Sunnis. With Assad gone, Hezbollah may very well find itself confronting massively armed, enraged Sunni militants at the same time its weapons supply route is cut…Hezbollah could very well find itself fighting for its life—and the Lebanese will once again find…

Nasrallah is finished in the Arab World

August 14, 2011 Avi wrote an article The Middle East:  Where Rhetoric is Rarely Reality on the impending crash of Hezbollah’s image in the Arab world.  “…The growing intervention of Iran in the internal affairs of Arab States; the public and practical support that Iran and Hezbollah provide the Assad government that brutally oppresses the uprising of the Syrian people; the increasing threats that Iran makes towards its Arab neighbors in the Gulf area; and of course the Tribunal’s report – all these events increase the feelings of resentment among Sunni Arabs towards the Shiites, and the animosity of Arab states toward Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.”  May 1, 2012 the president of Tunisia in a formal interview declares that Nasrallah…

The ABC’s of the Middle East

September 16, 2011  by Avi Melamed Below is an article published on September 14, 2011 about Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan’s speech at the meeting of The Arab League on September 12, 2011.  The article was written by Mr. Tariq Alhomayed, the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, the leading Arab language daily newspaper and the oldest and most influential in the Arab world. Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that position. Mr. Alhomayed has an acclaimed and distinguished career as a Journalist and has held many key positions in the field including; Assistant Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, Managing Editor of Asharq Al-Awsat in Saudi Arabia, Head of Asharq Al-Awsat Newspaper’s Bureau-Jeddah, Correspondent for Al –…

The Magic Card Called Israel

June 10, 2011 by Avi Melamed In this short article I would like to share with you a basic rule regarding Israel and the Arab world. The rule is simple – Israel was, is, and to many Arabs will continue to be – a tool, a platform upon which Arab politicians, leaders, scholars, journalists and others could gain popularity, fame and support. Israel is a sure card for these people and many others in the Arab world.  You can always incite against Israel, criticize Israel, attack Israel, and condemn Israel.  That’s a great way to escape responsibility, to avoid the need to confront the real challenges and along the way to gain popularity. A perfect example for that rule was…

Cautious Optimism

As we all eagerly await the anticipated release this Tuesday of Gilad Shalit I would like to share an article from May 2011 in which I expressed cautious optimism regarding the release of Gilad Shalit.  More important however, I would like to share with you what led me to that conclusion.  I hope the below piece helps you understand why, after more than five years, Hamas has decided “to make the deal.” May 2011 by Avi Melamed In May 2011 I was interviewed by the European online news portal www.Euobserver.com about the odds for a successful prisoner swap deal between Israel and Hamas. In this interview, I expressed cautious optimism regarding the odds of such a deal that would lead to the…

Chaos Spreads in Syria – An Opportunity for a Strategic Positive Turn in the Middle East

April 13 2011 by Avi Melamed The following message is a brief summary of an expanded article. Here are the main points: As of April 13th 2011, the situation in Syria is becoming more chaotic by the moment. Hundreds of Syrian civilians have been killed by Syrian security forces. The Syrian regime is operating a death squad called “The Ghosts” to take down Syrian civilian protestors. The University of Damascus is under siege and is occupied by the Syrian security forces. A humanitarian crisis is quickly developing in some Syrian cities. There is no bread or electricity in the city of Banias – one of the major centers of the uprising – and civilians that were shot and injured are…

Syria: The Wall of Fear is Cracking

March 21, 2011 by Avi Melamed The Tsunami wave is reaching the Syrian shore.  Riots are erupting in some Syrian cities.  Demonstrations are erupting in Damascus, Hums or Haleb, and Hama – all traditionally known as strongholds of Syrian opposition, mostly politically Islamist groups.  However, these demonstrations could be described as relatively low intensity demonstrations. One place is exceptional – the city of Dara’a next to the Syrian – Jordanian border.  Violent clashes are taking place in Dara’a over the past few days.  Five people were killed, hundreds injured, and dozens were arrested by the Syrian security forces…Yet- the riots and protests are not dying, in fact they are gaining momentum.  Government symbols in Dara’a were destroyed, the local Governor’s…

Syria: A Glimpse Behind the Curtain of Fear

March 5, 2011 by Avi Melamed The Syrian regime is taking some preemptive measures just to make sure that the Egyptian uprising will not create some “unhealthy thoughts” in the heads of the oppressed Syrian citizens. Allow me to introduce to you Unit 255 within the Syrian Internal Security apparatus.  Unit 255 is responsible for disinformation. Using a variety of State owned and controlled communication platforms Unit 255 is very busy these days. Under its direct command and authorization, false and misleading reports are being spread in Syria these days, telling people that Syrian drivers are “honking to express the solidarity of the Syrian citizens with their beloved President, Bashar Alasad.”  The Unit planted recently misleading information in the Internet and…

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