Avi Melamed.

Category: The Gulf States.

Where is the Leader of Jabhat Al-Nusrah in Syria? INTELLIGENCE BULETIN

******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date:                October 26, 2013 Event Date:                            October 25, 2013 Information Item:                 Leader of Jabhat Al- Nusrah killed in Syria? Information Platform:         Varied Source:                                    Vary Source Reliability:                 Unknown Spring:                                     Syrian National TV Network Spring Reliability:                  Unknown Information Validity:            Unconfirmed Relevant Information:         The Syrian TV News network (SANA) associated with the Assad regime, reported that Abu Muhammad Al-Joulani, the leader of the Jabhat Al-Nusra organization, which is affiliated with Al-Qaeda in Syria, was killed on October 25, 2013. Jabhat Al-Nusra rushed to deny the report, announcing that Al-Joulani, as well as Abu Anas Al-Sahabh, another senior leader of the organization, were safe and sound. It should be mentioned that the news item was removed from SANA’s website shortly after it was published. It also…

Did Assad’s Mother Die?

Intelligence Bulletin Did Assad’s Mother die? Information date: 2/18/2013 Information: Assad’s mother Amina Mahluf dies in Belhoul Specialty hospital in Dubai. Source: Neutral information platform Source reliability: Unknown Information validity: Unconfirmed Relevant information: According to different sources, Assad’s mother moved to the Gulf area few months ago. Her exact whereabouts are not clear. This information evaluated as reliable. Assad’s mother is member of the powerful Mahluf Alawite family. A teacher by profession, Amina Mahluf is often described as the “Iron lady” who rules her family with an iron fist. Reportedly, she had significant influence on almost all state matters in Syria. If the information regarding Amina Mahluf’s death is accurate, it could be meaningful for two major reasons; one, reportedly…

The King of Bahrain to visit the Gaza Strip This Week?

October 29, 2012 by Avi Melamed According to reports in the Arab media – which have been denied by official Bahraini spokesmen – the King of Bahrain will visit the Gaza Strip by the end of this week. Such a visit, should it take place, would be another indication of the Gulf States willingness to reward Hamas following its detachment from the Iranian-Syrian axis. A visit by the King of Bahrain, following last week’s visit of the Emir of Qatar to the Gaza Strip is a clear sign of support of the Gulf monarchies for the pragmatic wing of Hamas. The visit is also a signal from Saudi Arabia.  Qatar’s tendency to conduct independent foreign policy and to promote its…

Emerging Axis Signaling a More Pragmatic Hamas?

October 17, 2012 The Emirate of Qatar formally announced its intention to invest $254,000,000 in the Gaza Strip.  The money will be used to build a new hospital, new residential projects, new roads and new physical infrastructure.   The investment is expected to generate thousands of job opportunities for the people of Gaza who struggle with a 30% unemployment rate.  There were rumors that the Qatari Emir and/or his wife, Princess Moza, were supposed to have visited Gaza this week, but the trip was postponed.  This explains the fact that Gaza Streets were recently lined with huge billboards and posters of the Qatari Emir Hamad Bin Khalifa Al Thani with word “shukran” (“thank you” in Arabic).  Rumors of the supposed visit…

Egypt’s New Foreign Policy

July 30, 2012 February 3, 2012 Avi publishes an article Is the Israel Egypt Peace Treaty in Jeopardy?  in which he accurately foresees the foreign policy of Egypt’s new rule. Here is an excerpt from the article: “… the current Saudi-Egyptian alliance is crucial for Egypt…and Egypt is keenly aware of its dependence on Saudi support…the Saudis expect Egypt to restore their sovereignty in the Sinai Peninsula – the sooner the better – and to avoid events that could endanger the Saudi’s interests  …Egypt’s dependence on the support of the international community, and mostly the US, is deepening  …some African states are demanding that the agreement concerning the split of the water from Nile River be revised in a way…

Nasrallah is finished in the Arab World

August 14, 2011 Avi wrote an article The Middle East:  Where Rhetoric is Rarely Reality on the impending crash of Hezbollah’s image in the Arab world.  “…The growing intervention of Iran in the internal affairs of Arab States; the public and practical support that Iran and Hezbollah provide the Assad government that brutally oppresses the uprising of the Syrian people; the increasing threats that Iran makes towards its Arab neighbors in the Gulf area; and of course the Tribunal’s report – all these events increase the feelings of resentment among Sunni Arabs towards the Shiites, and the animosity of Arab states toward Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.”  May 1, 2012 the president of Tunisia in a formal interview declares that Nasrallah…

Is War in the Middle East Inevitable?

February 25, 2012 by Avi Melamed The Iranian nuclear military program and the possibility of a massive military collision in the Middle East are clearly occupying the world’s attention. These concerns are not groundless.  However, is military confrontation inevitable? In this article, I would like to bring your attention to the fact that at this specific moment, due to the…

Calls For an Uprising of The Arab Population in the District of Hozastan, Iran

April 14, 2011 by Avi Melamed  As the eyes of the world are all turned to events in Libya and Syria, a fire may erupt soon in one of most strategically sensitive areas in the Middle East:  The district of Hozastan in Iran. Hozastan is a huge district stretching along the eastern shore of the Arab Gulf.  The majority of the population in the district is Shi’ite, yet there is a big Sunni population as well.  The accurate number of the Sunnis in Iran is not clear – apparently around 10 million people (Iran’s total population is about 74 million).  The largest sect in Iran is the Shi’ites yet they are not the majority.  Iranian is a multi-ethnic society. The…

From Japan to Iran: Something to Think About

March 16, 2011 by Avi Melamed As the world closely and anxiously watches the nuclear drama unfold in JapanI would like to share with you the following thought provoking story, which clearly has much relevance. A couple of weeks ago a series of massive explosions rocked the city of Kum in Iran. That was not a terror attack.  The blasts were caused by gas leaking from the huge gas system infrastructure located in the area.  The reason for the explosions was simply the poor and deteriorating conditions of the massive Iranian gas infrastructure.  The Iranian President was alarmed; he knew that this time the regime was lucky, because there were no fatalities.  If such event repeats itself, and causes fatalities, it…

Masters of Chaos: The Iranian Mullah Regime

June 14, 2010 by Avi Melamed The UN Security Council has issued the fourth round of sanctions on Iran. It is enormously important to understand how dangerous this regime is and it is and no less important to confront the voices in the world that, either out of moral confusion or lack of understanding, or worse – out of cynical calculations – are trying to justify and legitimize the nuclear ambition of one of the most dangerous regimes in the world. Chaos is a good friend of the Iranian Mullah regime. And that regime is making sure to create chaos wherever and whenever it can.  Iran, under the Mullah regime, as described by the US State Department, is “the most…

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