Avi Melamed.

Category: Radical Islam.

UPDATE on “Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles?”

Yesterday I posted this blog post Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles Reportedly, the rebel Islamist group, ‪#‎Jaysh Al-Islam launched an Omar Missile near Allepo ‪‎Syria. Watch here https://youtu.be/eMURDYkfmTg  

Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles?

  July 24th, 2016 Intelligence Bulletin Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles? Background: Similar to other areas in Syria, the Syrian District of Quneitra, which borders the Israeli part of the Golan Heights is a stage for ongoing clashes, of varying levels of intensity and frequency, between different Syrian Rebel groups on the one side,…

Intelligence Report: Harakat as-Sabeeren Nasran li-Filastin in the Gaza Strip

July 1st, 2016 by Avi Melamed General Background: The Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine, Harakat al-Jihād al-Islāmi fi Filastīn, most widely known as the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) is a Sunni Islamic group, established in the late 1970’s. The PIJ is a Palestinian organization inspired by Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology. The goal of Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology is to create,…

“Israel exposed a tunnel from Gaza to Israeli community east of Gaza Strip” – Intelligence Bulletin – April 16th, 2016

Intelligence Bulletin – April 16th, 2016 Date of Event: Current Date Event Reported: April 15, 2016 Date Information Received: April 16, 2016 Information Item: According to Arab sources, Israel Defense Forces exposed a massive tunnel from the Gaza Strip into an Israeli community east of the era of Khan Yunis in the southern part of the Gaza Strip. Reportedly, the…

A Bear in A Sad Circus

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https://www.avimelamed.com/2015/03/21/pax-amer-iran/

Pax Amer-Iran

March 20, 2015 Pax Amer – Iran by Avi Melamed At the peak of its power and influence, the United States’ foreign policy was described as Pax Americana. That description was inspired by the term Pax Romana –”The Roman Peace” – the term that describes the period of time between 27 BC and 180 AD known as the “Golden Era”…

Muslim Brotherhood at the Crossroads

December 6, 2014 by Avi Melamed The Middle East continues to constantly provide dramatic events in different areas – in Syria, Yemen, Egypt, Iraq and other places. However, I would like to divert your attention for a while from the dramatic events in those arenas and take a pause to explore some very interesting processes taking place for a significant player in the region – The Muslim Brotherhood movement. Following the outbreak of events in the Arab world known as the Arab Awakening, the Muslim Brotherhood has succeeded in attaining their primary political goal in two Arab countries. In the elections held in Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood won by an overwhelming majority in the Egyptian parliament, and its candidate Mohamed…

Sixty-Six Egyptian Fishermen, Yemen and Instability in the Middle East

 October 24, 2014 Sixty-Six Egyptian Fishermen, Yemen and Instability in the Middle East Pay attention to the recent developments in Yemen, an Arab State with a population of 23,000,000 people. Yemen is located on the strategic Bab-el-Mandeb Strait (sometimes called the Mandab Strait) which flows between Yemen on the Arabian Peninsula and Djibouti and Eritrea in the Horn of Africa, and connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Yemen chronically suffers from weak governments, endless violence and enormous economic and social challenges. Yemen is a member of a “not so complementary” club of the poorest nations in the world. Yemen’s society is based on tribes and demographically it is 60% Sunni and 30% Shiite. All the above factors…

Operation Protective Edge: Exiting to a New Space

This is the English version of the Hebrew article I posted yesterday. To read the Hebrew article please click here   August 28, 2014 Operation Protective Edge: Exiting to a new Space by Avi Melamed   In my article Operation Protective Edge – Light at the End of Tunnel that I published on July 22, 2014 during the very early stages of Operation Protective Edge, I made the following observations (click here to read the article which expands on the below points), This round offers both Israelis and Palestinians a chance for strategic positive shift Hamas’ strategy has reached a dead end Hamas’ modus operandi is substantially challenged Hamas will announce victory no matter what the reality is and the…

מבצע “צוק איתן” – יוצאים למרחב חדש

Below is an article – Operation Protective Edge: Exiting to a New Space. I will send the English out later today. 28/8/2014 מבצע “צוק איתן” – יוצאים למרחב חדש אבי מלמד   ב- 22 יולי, בשלביו המוקדמים של מבצע “צוק איתן”, פרסמתי מאמר בכותרת “האם יש אור בקצה המנהרה” ובו קבעתי את הדברים העיקריים הבאים א) סבב זה מציע פוטנציאל לשינוי אסטרטגי חיובי עבור ישראל והפלסטינים ב) הסבב מסמל את העובדה שדרכו של חמאס הגיעה למבוי סתום ג) כל מודל הפעולה של חמאס – הצבאי, התעמולתי הפוליטי, האידיאולוגי – נסדק קשות ביותר כתוצאה למערכה ד) חמאס יכריז נצחון בכל מקרה ללא קשר לתוצאות ולמציאות ה) בסיום הסבב יצאו ישראל והפלסטינים למרחב שונה מזה שהיו בו בתחילת הסבב לאחר 50 ימי…

Bewildering American Move – Operation Protective Edge

Why was US Secretary of State John Kerry’s latest cease fire proposal rejected by Egypt, Israel, the Palestinian Authority and Saudi Arabia? Another misstep on the part of the US Administration stemming from a misreading of the Middle Eastern Map, results in the US government scrambling to do damage control. As the Middle East goes through increasing turbulence, stemming from the enormous challenges the region is confronting, it is critical that the West, especially the United States, understand how to foster and cultivate stability in the face of those that are determined to foment instability.   Avi Melamed, former Israeli Senior Official on Arab Affairs and former Intelligence Official and educator, is today an Independent Middle East Strategic Intelligence Analyst,…

Avi Melamed Examines Possible Cease Fire in Operation Protective Edge

  Avi Melamed Examines Possible Cease Fire on July 25, 2014 – Day 18 of Operation Protective Edge   Avi Melamed, former Israeli Senior Official on Arab Affairs and former Intelligence Official and educator, is today an Independent Middle East Strategic Intelligence Analyst, Regional Expert and lecturer specializing in the current affairs of the Arab and Muslim world and their impact on Israel and the region. Avi is also the Rosenzwog Overseas Middle East expert at the Eisenhower Institute, Washington DC.

Operation Protective Edge – Light at the End of Tunnel

July 24, 2014   Operation Protective Edge – Light at the End of Tunnel A potential for a positive strategic change for Israelis and Palestinians by Avi Melamed   This article is written in the midst of a fierce war between Israel and Hamas which is taking place inside the Gaza Strip as well in Israeli cities and communities. As I write this I am fully aware of the fact that the situation is completely fluid. Any minute now something could happen that could change everything, and we may find ourselves in a totally different situation going in a completely different direction. It is very possible that the fighting will escalate. It is also possible that a cease fire will…

מבצע “צוק איתן”:אור בקצה המנהרה

This article is entitled Operation Protective Edge The Light at the End of the Tunnel: The Prospects for a Positive Strategic Change for Israelis and Palestinians. I will send an English version PLUS a summary video over the next two days, thank you for your patience  22 יולי 2014   מבצע “צוק איתן” : אור בקצה המנהרה סיכוי לשינוי אסטרטגי חיובי עבור ישראל והפלסטינים אבי מלמד הדברים הללו נכתבים בעיצומו של מבצע “צוק איתן” אבל כבר עתה ניתן לקבוע לדעתי כי למבצע “צוק איתן” יש פוטנציאל להציע שינוי אסטרטגי חיובי מבחינתה של ישראל – וגם מבחינתם של הפלסטינים. מדוע אני חושב כך? מבצע “צוק איתן” שונה – בנסיבותיו, במהלכו, בתוצאותיו ובהשלכותיו המיידיות והאפשריות – בהשוואה לסבבי אלימות קודמים בין ישראל…

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