Avi Melamed.

Category: Lebanon.

Iran is on Fire: Mass Protests Breakout Across Iran

Rising gasoline prices in Iran have resulted in an outbreak of mass protests across Iran. Protestors are blocking roads and setting fire to public buildings, banks that are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, police stations, etc. They are also burning posters and destroying statues of the leader of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran, Ayatollah Khomeini, the first Supreme…

Lebanon’s Despair: Initial Diagnoses | October 21

October 21, 2019 The screams and mass protests – unprecedented in volume and intensity – which erupted in Lebanon on Thursday, October 17th are screams of despair and demand for a profound change. The precise, straightforward, and exhaustive way to describe the background to the protests is that the Lebanese – young, old, Sunni, Christian, Shi’ite, Druze – are just…

Part 3 | Alarms on Lebanese-Israeli Border: Preemptive Actions to Prevent a Wide-Scale War in The Middle East

In Part 1 of my three-part analysis, “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israel Border might be Last Wake-up Call for Western Leaders” (September 11, 2019), I explained and contextualized the events of September 1, 2019, on the Israeli Lebanese border. In Part 2,  “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi” (September 13, 2019) I…

Part 2 | Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders (Part 1)

This short document is being written in light of a seemingly – for now – contained, short round of violence between Israel and Hezbollah on September 1, 2019.  In Part 1 of this 2-part article, I will briefly explain how and why we have reached this phase. And in Part 2 I will explain what must be done to prevent…

Avi on I24 News | August 25, 2019 | Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Hezbollah

Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

FEBRUARY 12, 2019 Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East (as published in The Atlantic Council IranSource) BY AVI MELAMED US and Poland flags (US State Department) The Trump administration accurately identified the Iranian threat and has, on some significant issues, acted accordingly—including the US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the application of…

Lebanon: The Gangland State

Lebanon: The Gangland State

As published in The Algemeiner on February 7, 2019 Hezbollah supporters in Marjayoun, Lebanon, May 7, 2018. Photo: Reuters / Aziz Taher / File.   General elections were held in Lebanon in May 2018. Why did it take until January 31st, 2019 to finally assemble a government? One of the major reasons for the delay was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s…

https://www.avimelamed.com/2019/02/09/from-beirut-to-warsaw/

From Beirut to Warsaw

The General Elections in Lebanon took place in May 2018. Since the elections, Iran has ordered The Lebanese Shi’ite Proxy, Hezbollah – a member of the Lebanese Parliament (with 13 Seats) – to veto the formation of the government. Iran recently gave Hezbollah the green light to approve the formation of a government. On the one hand, this indicates that…

Increasing Probability for Large-Scale Collision Between Israel & Iranian Proxies in 2019

January 24, 2019    INFORMATION: Another significant direct Israeli-Iranian military collision took place in Syria on January 20th and 21st, 2019. On January 20th the Israeli Air Force carried out an attack in the area of Damascus. Later that day, an Iranian made mid-range surface-to-surface missile targeting northern Israel was launched from within Syria. The missile was apparently launched directly…

Transition of Power Within Hezbollah?

Transition of Power Within Hezbollah?

Information:     Since early December 2018 until the date of this Intelligence Bulletin, Lebanese Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah has not appeared in public, nor has he delivered any visual or audio messages. Reportedly, he is hospitalized following a heart attack. The reports are denied by Hezbollah as well as by a Senior Iranian Official. Hezbollah is a Lebanese Shi’ite organization,…

https://soundcloud.com/user-437576028/assassination-of-british-radio-broadcaster-in-lebanon

Assassination of British Radio Broadcaster in Lebanon

British Radio Broadcaster, Gavin Ford was found dead last week outside of Beirut Lebanon. A British citizen, Ford had lived in Lebanon for more than twenty years. What is the connection of Ford’s mysterious demise to Lebanese politics?  

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Below please see my article  Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq, published by The Atlantic Council  Atlantic Council ~ IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran on October 12, 2018 Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq BY AVI MELAMED Iranian and Iraqi flag (moqavemati) Since the Iranian regime seized power in…

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