Avi Melamed.

Category: Lebanon.

The Special Tribunal for Lebanon Final Verdict | The End or A Beginning?

On March 1, 2009, a select body called the STL – the Special Tribunal for Lebanon was established. Its mission was to investigate the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri, who – along with twenty-two other people – was killed on February 14, 2005. The STL, headquartered near The Hague with an office in Beirut, was established by…

Massive Explosion in the Port of Beirut, August 4, 2020 | Preliminary Observations by Avi Melamed

I am writing this article the day after a huge explosion that took place in the port of Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, on August 4, 2020. In this article, I am not focusing on speculations. Instead, I am just concentrating on several initial diagnoses related to the incident. Basic information that can be assessed at this stage to be…

Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 2 – The War in Syria

This is the second in a three-part series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… This is a segment I filmed yesterday morning – given the events in Beirut, I will not for the meantime, be uploading the third in the series. I am, however, working…

Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 1 – Introduction

This is the first in a three-part video series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… If you have not seen my video from July 23rd – Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions – it might help augment the background. Here is the link to…

Zoom-In on the Middle East | December 15, 2019

The Middle East is a chain of links. Everything is connected. Understanding the links is critical to developing an accurate picture of reality. I wanted to take the opportunity to provide a contextualized snapshot of the region along with my predictions of what we can expect in the short term. I hope you find this brief overview helpful.   Lebanon…

Iran is on Fire: Mass Protests Breakout Across Iran

Rising gasoline prices in Iran have resulted in an outbreak of mass protests across Iran. Protestors are blocking roads and setting fire to public buildings, banks that are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, police stations, etc. They are also burning posters and destroying statues of the leader of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran, Ayatollah Khomeini, the first Supreme…

Lebanon’s Despair: Initial Diagnoses | October 21

October 21, 2019 The screams and mass protests – unprecedented in volume and intensity – which erupted in Lebanon on Thursday, October 17th are screams of despair and demand for a profound change. The precise, straightforward, and exhaustive way to describe the background to the protests is that the Lebanese – young, old, Sunni, Christian, Shi’ite, Druze – are just…

Part 3 | Alarms on Lebanese-Israeli Border: Preemptive Actions to Prevent a Wide-Scale War in The Middle East

In Part 1 of my three-part analysis, “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israel Border might be Last Wake-up Call for Western Leaders” (September 11, 2019), I explained and contextualized the events of September 1, 2019, on the Israeli Lebanese border. In Part 2,  “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi” (September 13, 2019) I…

Part 2 | Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi

In Part 1 of this Article, I explained and contextualized the events of September 1 on the Israeli Lebanese border. I ended the article by saying the following: "It is likely that yesterday’s short round between Israel and Hezbollah might be the last wake-up call for Western leaders. It should be clear that the potential for a severe, rapid escalation…

Alarms on the Lebanese-Israeli Border Might be Last Wake Up Call for Western Leaders (Part 1)

This short document is being written in light of a seemingly – for now – contained, short round of violence between Israel and Hezbollah on September 1, 2019.  In Part 1 of this 2-part article, I will briefly explain how and why we have reached this phase. And in Part 2 I will explain what must be done to prevent…

Avi on I24 News | August 25, 2019 | Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Hezbollah

Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

FEBRUARY 12, 2019 Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East (as published in The Atlantic Council IranSource) BY AVI MELAMED US and Poland flags (US State Department) The Trump administration accurately identified the Iranian threat and has, on some significant issues, acted accordingly—including the US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the application of…

Lebanon: The Gangland State

Lebanon: The Gangland State

As published in The Algemeiner on February 7, 2019 Hezbollah supporters in Marjayoun, Lebanon, May 7, 2018. Photo: Reuters / Aziz Taher / File.   General elections were held in Lebanon in May 2018. Why did it take until January 31st, 2019 to finally assemble a government? One of the major reasons for the delay was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s…

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