Avi Melamed.

Category: Iran.

The Israel-UAE Peace Agreement & The Restructured Middle East

In this short article, I will explain how the Abraham Accord, the peace agreement between Israel and the UAE itself, and the responses to the agreement, represent the new geostrategic construct of the region.

Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 2 – The War in Syria

This is the second in a three-part series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… This is a segment I filmed yesterday morning – given the events in Beirut, I will not for the meantime, be uploading the third in the series. I am, however, working…

Video – Israel & Hezbollah on a Collision Course | Part 1 – Introduction

This is the first in a three-part video series analyzing the current status between Hezbollah and Israel on the Israeli Lebanese border and assessing how things might evolve and why… If you have not seen my video from July 23rd – Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions – it might help augment the background. Here is the link to…

Iran’s Deteriorating Deterrence & Teheran’s Possible Reactions

  Recent events throughout the region – including the killing of an Iranian General and a Senior Hezbollah militant outside of Damascus earlier this week – erode Iran’s deterrent posture. In this filmed webinar, I give an overview of Iran’s regional goals, the current challenge it is facing in achieving its ambitions. And I outline a possible – even counterintuitive…

Al-Quds: Iranian Poster & Hidden Messages

Every year, on the last Friday of the Muslim month of Ramadan, worshipers around the world mark “Al-Quds Day.” This year. Ramadan began on April 23rd and ended on May 23rd. Al Quds Day this year was on May 22nd. Al-Quds is the name in Arabic for Jerusalem. The word is taken from the Hebrew word for holy which is…

Zoom-In: The Red Sea

"Council of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden Countries” - yet another layer in the formation of the Israeli-Egyptian-Saudi axis. This alliance strives to curb Iran and Turkey from spreading their influence and power in the Middle East and restore stability to this turbulent region.

Iranian Retaliation: A Prelude to A Diplomatic Process?

This article is being written just hours after Iran launched a missile attack (January 8) against two military bases in Iraq. The targets were the Ein al-Assad base in western Iraq and the Harir base located some 70 miles west of the Iran-Iraq border. These bases host United States Forces, as well as International Coalition Forces that are fighting ISIS…

The Killing of Major General Qassem Soleimani | Initial Observations

The killing of Iranian Al-Quds Force Commander, Major General Qassem Soleimani by the United States (January 3rd, 2020), launched a shock wave that ripples through the Middle East. Qassem Soleimani was the Al-Quds Force commander. The Al -Quds force is an elite unit of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRG). The IRG reports directly to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Soleimani…

Zoom-In on the Middle East | December 15, 2019

The Middle East is a chain of links. Everything is connected. Understanding the links is critical to developing an accurate picture of reality. I wanted to take the opportunity to provide a contextualized snapshot of the region along with my predictions of what we can expect in the short term. I hope you find this brief overview helpful.   Lebanon…

Iran is on Fire: Mass Protests Breakout Across Iran

Rising gasoline prices in Iran have resulted in an outbreak of mass protests across Iran. Protestors are blocking roads and setting fire to public buildings, banks that are owned by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, police stations, etc. They are also burning posters and destroying statues of the leader of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran, Ayatollah Khomeini, the first Supreme…

Lebanon’s Despair: Initial Diagnoses | October 21

October 21, 2019 The screams and mass protests – unprecedented in volume and intensity – which erupted in Lebanon on Thursday, October 17th are screams of despair and demand for a profound change. The precise, straightforward, and exhaustive way to describe the background to the protests is that the Lebanese – young, old, Sunni, Christian, Shi’ite, Druze – are just…

Part 3 | Alarms on Lebanese-Israeli Border: Preemptive Actions to Prevent a Wide-Scale War in The Middle East

In Part 1 of my three-part analysis, “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israel Border might be Last Wake-up Call for Western Leaders” (September 11, 2019), I explained and contextualized the events of September 1, 2019, on the Israeli Lebanese border. In Part 2,  “Alarms on the Lebanese – Israeli Border (Part 2) Iran’s Hegemonic Modus Operandi” (September 13, 2019) I…

Beyond Despair: Protests in Iraq – October 2019 Immediate Observations

Over the past week, mass protests and riots have spread throughout Iraq’s major cities. Reportedly, more than 100 protestors have been killed, and more than 6,000 have been injured.  This is not the first time such protests have broken out in Iraq – particularly in Baghdad and southern Iraq. And like before, most of the protesters are Shi’ites. However, there…

September 14 Attack on Saudi Arabia | Regional Perspectives

The September 14th Iranian attack on Saudi Arabia is a moment of truth for the West and its Middle East allies.  The West is clearly eager to avoid a direct confrontation with Iran. Some argue – at all costs. On the other hand, the Arab Gulf monarchies, Jordan, and Israel are determined to thwart Iran's hegemonic vision at all costs. Because…

AVI'S NEW BOOK

"Inside the Middle East:
Making Sense of the Most Dangerous and Complicated Place on Earth"

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