Please note that due to very high demand, I have extended my fall lecture tour -
*Game of Pawns: The Middle East 2017 *
I will now be in North America from September 26 - December 6, 2017

Please feel free to CONTACT ME or +972-505-409-905. I look forward to hearing from you - and hopefully seeing you soon!

Avi Melamed.

Category: Intelligence Bulletin.

Extended Intelligence Report – July 2017 Temple Mount Compound Crisis: Regional Perspectives

Click here for a PDF of this Intelligence Report    On July 16, 2017 I wrote an Intelligence Bulletin – The Attack on The Temple Mount Compound: Regional Reactions. This is an extended Intelligence Report on the issue.   *** Intelligence Report *** August 8, 2017  July 2017 Crisis over Temple Mt. Compound: Regional Perspectives   Information: On Friday July 14,…

Al Hazimi Ideology: Radicalization of Extremism

Click Here to Download a PDF of this Bulletin   Intelligence Bulletin Al Hazimi Ideology: Radicalization of Extremism   July 23, 2017 Information: Major Arab information platforms, including Elaph and Al Arabiya, have just recently introduced a person named Ahmad Bin Omar Al Hazimi, a Saudi Salafi-Jihadi preacher advocating what is described as “a more extreme and brutal version of…

The Concept of Greater Jordan and the Creation of a Safe-Zone in South Syria

Click Here for PDF of this Report June 27, 2017 Intelligence Report The Concept of Greater Jordan and the Creation of a Safe-Zone in South Syria  Information: Reportedly in June 2017 the United States, Russia and Jordan signed a memorandum establishing a “Safe-Zone” in southern Syria – a 30-kilometer-wide strip in Syria running parallel to the Jordanian border. The exact…

Immediate Intelligence Bulletin: Senior Syrian or Hezbollah Military Commander Reportedly killed in Israeli air strike in the Golan Heights

******* Immediate Intelligence Bulletin   Date Report Published: March 19,2017 Information: Senior Syrian or Hezbollah Military Commander Reportedly killed in Israeli air strike in the Golan Heights Date of event: March 19, 2017 Date information received: March 19, 2017 Information Platform: Varied Information Platform Evaluation:  Unknown Source: Varied Source Evaluation: Unknown Spring:   Unknown Spring Evaluation: Unknown Information disclosed: Arab platforms…

A Prediction Materialized: Iranian Proxy Vows to “Fight to Liberate the Golan Heights”

Inside the Middle East – Intelligence Perspectives Intelligence Bulletin     March 14, 2017   A Prediction Materialized: Iranian Proxy Vows to “Fight to liberate the Golan Heights”   Information: In my January 2017 article “A Growing Whirlpool of Violence: The Middle East Legacy of Barack Obama “ I made the following prediction regarding the growing direct and indirect Iranian…

Intelligence Bulletin: Use of Surface-to-Surface Missiles by Syrian Rebels Expands

July 27, 2016 ******* Intelligence Bulletin Use of Surface-to-Surface Missiles by Syrian Rebels Expands (Following my July 23rd Twitter post and July 24th Intelligence Bulletin) Information Date: July 25th, 2016 Event Date: July 24th / 25th, 2016 Information Item: Syrian rebel group Jaysh Al-Islam launches two missiles in Aleppo Information Platform: Osint (Open Source Intelligence), Varied, Video Source:           Jaysh Al-Islam…

UPDATE on “Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles?”

Yesterday I posted this blog post Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles Reportedly, the rebel Islamist group, ‪#‎Jaysh Al-Islam launched an Omar Missile near Allepo ‪‎Syria. Watch here https://youtu.be/eMURDYkfmTg  

Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles?

  July 24th, 2016 Intelligence Bulletin Do the Syrian Rebels in the Golan Heights have Surface-to-Surface Missiles? Background: Similar to other areas in Syria, the Syrian District of Quneitra, which borders the Israeli part of the Golan Heights is a stage for ongoing clashes, of varying levels of intensity and frequency, between different Syrian Rebel groups on the one side,…

Intelligence Report: Harakat as-Sabeeren Nasran li-Filastin in the Gaza Strip

July 1st, 2016 by Avi Melamed General Background: The Islamic Jihad Movement in Palestine, Harakat al-Jihād al-Islāmi fi Filastīn, most widely known as the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) is a Sunni Islamic group, established in the late 1970’s. The PIJ is a Palestinian organization inspired by Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology. The goal of Jihadi Islamist Militant ideology is to create,…

“Israel exposed a tunnel from Gaza to Israeli community east of Gaza Strip” – Intelligence Bulletin – April 16th, 2016

Intelligence Bulletin – April 16th, 2016 Date of Event: Current Date Event Reported: April 15, 2016 Date Information Received: April 16, 2016 Information Item: According to Arab sources, Israel Defense Forces exposed a massive tunnel from the Gaza Strip into an Israeli community east of the era of Khan Yunis in the southern part of the Gaza Strip. Reportedly, the…

Was the Military supreme commander of Izz A-Din Al-Qassam Brigades killed?

 August 21, 2014  Was the Military supreme commander of the Izz A-Din Al-Qassam Brigades killed?  At the time this report is being written, the fate of Mohammed Deif, the Supreme Commander of the Izz A-Din Al-Qaasam Brigades, who was targeted by an Israeli air raid on Tuesday night, August 19th, is yet unknown. Hamas’ formal spokesman announced that Israel’s attempt to kill Deif failed. On the other hand, a foreign news network quoted Israeli intelligence sources who argue that Deif was killed. A similar argument was made by some Palestinian sources as well. Perpetrating such an attack requires two mandatory conditions. One is up to date excellent, highly reliable operational intelligence in real time. The second condition is that the…

האם נהרג מחמד דף המפקד של גדודי עז א- דין אלקסאם

21 אוגוסט 2014   ************   אשגר מודיעין   ****************   האם נהרג מחמד דף המפקד של גדודי עז א- דין אלקסאם ?   נכון לכתיבת דווח זה לא ברור האם מחמד דף, מפקד גדודי עז א-דין אלקסאם, נהרג בתקיפת חה”א הישראלי בעזה ב -19 אוגוסט 2014. דוברים רשמיים של חמאס הודיעו כי דף לא נהרג בתקיפה. מצד שני, בדיווחים ברשתות תקשורת זרות נטען, כי חוגי מודיעין ישראלי מסרו באופן בלתי רשמי שדף ככל הנראה אכן נהרג בתקיפה. בפעולות של חיסול של יעדים המוגדרים כבעלי חשיבות ראשונה במעלה, חייבים להתקיים שני תנאים לביצוע: תנאי אחד הוא מודיעין מבצעי באיכות גבוהה ביותר בזמן אמת. התנאי השני הוא ההערכה שההישג הגלום בחיסול עולה על הנזקים ההסברתיים וההשלכות המשפטיות שעלולות לפגוע בישראל כתוצאה לפגיעה הבלתי…

Al Qaeda Intelligence Bulletin

******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date:          February 6, 2014 Event Date:          February 3, 2014 Information Item:          Al-Qaeda announces it has no connection to ISIS Information Platform:          Osint Source:          Web Source Reliability:          Reliable Spring:          As-Sahab Media Spring Reliability:          Reliable Relevant Information:          Al-Qaeda announced that it has no relationship with the Militant Islamic organization known as The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS), a group also known in Arabic by the initials DA’ESH. Isis has heretofore been identified as Al-Qaeda’s branch in Iraq. The announcement was published in Al-Qaeda’s main media platform known as As-Sahab (The Cloud). Evaluation:          Reading in-between the lines hints that the reason for this announcement has to do with the growing discontent of Al-Qaeda’s senior leadership –…

Where is the Leader of Jabhat Al-Nusrah in Syria? INTELLIGENCE BULETIN

******* Intelligence Bulletin Information Date:                October 26, 2013 Event Date:                            October 25, 2013 Information Item:                 Leader of Jabhat Al- Nusrah killed in Syria? Information Platform:         Varied Source:                                    Vary Source Reliability:                 Unknown Spring:                                     Syrian National TV Network Spring Reliability:                  Unknown Information Validity:            Unconfirmed Relevant Information:         The Syrian TV News network (SANA) associated with the Assad regime, reported that Abu Muhammad Al-Joulani, the leader of the Jabhat Al-Nusra organization, which is affiliated with Al-Qaeda in Syria, was killed on October 25, 2013. Jabhat Al-Nusra rushed to deny the report, announcing that Al-Joulani, as well as Abu Anas Al-Sahabh, another senior leader of the organization, were safe and sound. It should be mentioned that the news item was removed from SANA’s website shortly after it was published. It also…

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