The UN Secretary General & European leaders say that abolishing the JCPOA will cause a war. Will they ever realize that the JCPOA pushed the Middle East CLOSER to a regional war?    Read my predictions since 2012:   2012 – Is War in the Middle East Inevitable?   2015 – Pax Amer-Iran   2017 – A Growing Whirlpool of Violence:…

The Politics Behind the Palestinian March of Return (As published in Algemeiner – please click here to read the article in Algemeiner) by Avi Melamed Israeli soldiers use tear gas against Palestinian rioters on the Gaza border, March 30, 2018. Photo: Reuters / Amir Cohen. On March 30, 2018, the Palestinians kicked-off the “March of Return” campaign, a series of protests…

Immediate Intelligence Bulletin   April 17, 2018   Information: The sequence of events and developments on the ground in Syria last week increased the odds and hastened the scenario of an Israeli-Iranian military collision. On April 9, 2018, an attack on an Iranian base, located in the T-4 Syrian Air Force Base, located in the Homs district of Syria, killed…

An Article by By Charles Bybelezer | The Media Line ~ April 11, 2018   While the terror group has no appetite for a full-blown military conflict with Israel, the longer the turmoil continues the higher the probability of such an eventuality For the past two Fridays, tens of thousands of Palestinians have converged on the Gaza Strip border to participate in the…

An Article by Chris Mitchell ~ April 14, 2018   The facts are clear.  A joint command of the U.S., Great Britain, and France launched a raid on three Syrian chemical weapons facilities.  Their strike came in response to a horrific chemical attack in Douma, Syria that left 75 dead.  The gruesome pictures of children and adults gasping for breath went viral…

INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Information: On March 30, 2018, the Palestinians kicked-off a national effort entitled The March of Return Campaign, scheduled to consist of a series of protests and demonstrations centered in the Gaza Strip, and planned to a lesser extent, also in the areas ruled by the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank. (Click here for the article I published…

Inside the Middle East – Intelligence Perspectives Immediate Intelligence Bulletin Palestinian Campaign – The March of Return: Towards a Burst of Major Israeli – Palestinian Violence?   March 29, 2018   The Palestinians have announced the launching of a The March of Return campaign, consisting of a series of protests and demonstrations centered in the Gaza Strip, and also planned…

Click here for PDF of this Article January 19, 2017     A Growing Whirlpool of Violence: The Middle Eastern Legacy of Barack Obama by Avi Melamed   On June 4, 2009 the President of the United States, Barack Obama, delivered a speech at Cairo University entitled “A New Beginning” in which he called for the opening of a new…

March 20, 2015 Pax Amer – Iran by Avi Melamed At the peak of its power and influence, the United States’ foreign policy was described as Pax Americana. That description was inspired by the term Pax Romana –”The Roman Peace” – the term that describes the period of time between 27 BC and 180 AD known as the “Golden Era”…

January 19, 2015 A Significant Message by Avi Melamed   The Lebanese Shiite organization Hezbollah announced that six of its militants were killed on the Syrian side of the Golan Heights on January 18th. In addition, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards announced that an Iranian General was killed in the attack. Reportedly, the Iranian general was second-in-command of the Al-Quds Force,…

July 15, 2014 Muqawama, Money, Missiles By Avi Melamed The current round of violence between Israel and Hamas is caused by the simplest reason imaginable, yet very few are aware of it. MONEY. Let’s start with a clarification. Today, the real boss in the Gaza Strip, is a massively armed military force of about ten to fifteen thousand Palestinians known as the Ezzedeen Al-Qassam Brigades. Ezzedeen Al-Qassam is often presented as the military wing of Hamas – the rulers of the Gaza Strip. However, that definition should be revised to more accurately reflect the current reality. Today, the militia – the Ezzedeen Al-Qassam Brigades, who rule the Gaza Strip – have a political wing, named Hamas. It is the Ezzedeen…

May 7, 2014   The War in Syria – A Mutual Chokehold By Avi Melamed Pay attention to the Syrian town of Tfail. Tfail is a Lebanese enclave located in the Al-Kalmun mountain range in Syria about a mile away from the Lebanese border. It is a town of about 5,000 people – all Lebanese citizens (though the town is located inside Syria) – the majority of whom are Sunnis. Reportedly, following the recent battles in the region, dozens of thousands of Syrians fleeing the war in Syria found refuge on the outskirts of Tfail. Hezbollah argues that these refugees are not civilians, but rather Syrian rebels who fled following the recent fighting in the area of the Al-Kalmun. Reportedly,…

January 23, 2012 by Avi Melamed From its inception in the 1980s, Hamas has portrayed itself as a movement deeply rooted in Islamic principles and dedicated to the teachings of the Quran. Concentrating its attention on building a power base in the Gaza Strip, Hamas has proclaimed as its primary purpose the development of programs intended to improve the lives of the Palestinian people. In January 2006 Palestinians voters registered their support for Hamas’ stated goals by electing a majority of the organization’s slate of candidates to the Palestinian parliament, thereby constituting a strong opposition to the block of delegates representing the views of the Palestinian Authority. Eighteen months later, in June 2007, Hamas mounted a bloody coup that wrested…

April 14, 2011 by Avi Melamed  As the eyes of the world are all turned to events in Libya and Syria, a fire may erupt soon in one of most strategically sensitive areas in the Middle East:  The district of Hozastan in Iran. Hozastan is a huge district stretching along the eastern shore of the Arab Gulf.  The majority of the population in the district is Shi’ite, yet there is a big Sunni population as well.  The accurate number of the Sunnis in Iran is not clear – apparently around 10 million people (Iran’s total population is about 74 million).  The largest sect in Iran is the Shi’ites yet they are not the majority.  Iranian is a multi-ethnic society. The…