Avi Melamed.

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Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East

FEBRUARY 12, 2019 Poland Summit Strives for Stability in the Middle East (as published in The Atlantic Council IranSource) BY AVI MELAMED US and Poland flags (US State Department) The Trump administration accurately identified the Iranian threat and has, on some significant issues, acted accordingly—including the US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and the application of…

Lebanon: The Gangland State

Lebanon: The Gangland State

As published in The Algemeiner on February 7, 2019 Hezbollah supporters in Marjayoun, Lebanon, May 7, 2018. Photo: Reuters / Aziz Taher / File.   General elections were held in Lebanon in May 2018. Why did it take until January 31st, 2019 to finally assemble a government? One of the major reasons for the delay was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah’s…

Increasing Probability for Large-Scale Collision Between Israel & Iranian Proxies in 2019

January 24, 2019    INFORMATION: Another significant direct Israeli-Iranian military collision took place in Syria on January 20th and 21st, 2019. On January 20th the Israeli Air Force carried out an attack in the area of Damascus. Later that day, an Iranian made mid-range surface-to-surface missile targeting northern Israel was launched from within Syria. The missile was apparently launched directly…

Transition of Power Within Hezbollah?

Transition of Power Within Hezbollah?

Information:     Since early December 2018 until the date of this Intelligence Bulletin, Lebanese Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah has not appeared in public, nor has he delivered any visual or audio messages. Reportedly, he is hospitalized following a heart attack. The reports are denied by Hezbollah as well as by a Senior Iranian Official. Hezbollah is a Lebanese Shi’ite organization,…

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Below please see my article  Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq, published by The Atlantic Council  Atlantic Council ~ IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran on October 12, 2018 Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq BY AVI MELAMED Iranian and Iraqi flag (moqavemati) Since the Iranian regime seized power in…

Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq

Atlantic Council ~ IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran

Below please see my article  Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq, published by The Atlantic Council  on October 12, 2018 Iran Can’t Fulfill Its Hopes of a Shia Corridor Without Iraq BY AVI MELAMED Iranian and Iraqi flag (moqavemati) Since the Iranian regime seized power in 1979, its goal has been for Iran to become a…

Post-Election Iraq: A Spinning Whirlpool

Post-Election Iraq: A Spinning Whirlpool

The May 2018 general elections in Iraq primarily centered on three issues: Fighting rampant corruption of government agencies; Rehabilitating Iraq, estimated at 100 billion USD; Preserving the political and geographic integrity of Iraq as an Arab state in the face of growing Iranian influence and intervention – and to a lesser extent, separatist sentiments of the Iraqi Kurds. Iraqi society…

Will Iran Deepen its Intervention in Iraq?

Will Iran Deepen its Intervention in Iraq?

Information: Since the Mullah regime seized power in Iran in 1979, their goal has been to “Export the Islamic Revolution.” The goal of which is for Iran to become the regional superpower and to restore the Shi’ites as the rulers of the Muslim world – a position which in the Shi’ite theology, was taken from them in Kerbala in the…

Arab Persian Power Struggle

Arab Persian Power Struggle

Arab Persian Power Struggle   Two major historic struggles have played a central role in shaping the Muslim world and the Middle East. One axis is the struggle between Arab civilization and the Persian civilization. The other axis is the rivalry between Sunnis and Shi’ites in Islam. In the year 651 CE, a significant event took place in the Middle East; the four-hundred…

Sunni Shiite Power Struggle

Sunni Shi’ite Power Struggle

Sunnis & Shi’ites   Two major historic struggles have played a central role in shaping the Muslim world and the Middle East. One axis is the struggle between Sunnis and Shi’ites in Islam. The other axis is the rivalry between two large regional civilizations: The Arab civilization and the Persian civilization. There are about 1.6 billion Muslims in the world.  About…

Kites, Flames and Soccer: High Potential for an Israeli-Palestinian Massive Collision in Gaza

Kites, Flames, Soccer – War in Gaza Around the Corner?

Information: The Palestinian Great March of Return Campaign, which was launched at the end of March 2018, has primarily taken place in the Gaza Strip near the Israeli-Gaza border. From the onset of the Campaign, in addition to attempts to storm the Israeli-Gaza border fence, Palestinians from the Gaza Strip attached Molotov cocktails, containers of burning fuel, explosive devices, etc.…

Israeli-Iranian Military Collision on May 10, 2018 – Immediate Observations

On May 10, 2018 the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRG) shot twenty rockets at Israel from inside Syria. In response, Israel struck Syrian-based IRG weapons depots, logistics sites, and intelligence bases – as well as a Syrian army surface-to-air missile battery. It is my analysis that this Israeli-Iranian military collision of May 10, 2018 has left Iran – for now –…

JCPOA Pushed Middle East Closer to War: Will Western Leaders Choose the Right Path to Reverse The Tide?

Article’s major points: Developments and events in the Middle East following the signing of JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action / The Iran Deal / The Iran Nuclear Deal) in July 2015, clearly indicate that the JCPOA fuels Iran’s aggressive expansion policy, and as a result, has pushed the Middle East closer to a massive regional war. The JCPOA should…

The Bitter Fruits of the JCPOA

Article’s major points: Developments and events in the Middle East following the signing of JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action / The Iran Deal / The Iran Nuclear Deal) in July 2015, clearly indicate that the JCPOA fuels Iran’s aggressive expansion policy, and as a result, has pushed the Middle East closer to a massive regional war. The JCPOA should…

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